Sport Picks
Lok. Tashkent vs Din. Samarkand - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Uzbekistan
Super League Lokomotiv Stadium, Tashkent 
Match Events
7'
7'
Jumaboev J.
Assist: Avanesyan T.
29'
29'
Turopov D.
Assist: Nurulloev S.
34'
34'
Abdukholikov T.
Assist: Nurulloev S.
AI Match Summary
The Super League game between Lok. Tashkent and Din. Samarkand finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lok. Tashkent.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lok. Tashkent
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Lok. Tashkent carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Lok. Tashkent a 47% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Lok. Tashkent Clean Sheet 20%
Din. Samarkand Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lok. Tashkent | Din. Samarkand |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.26 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 7, 2026 Super League
Lok. Tashkent vs Din. Samarkand
2:1
Apr 12, 2026 Super League
Din. Samarkand vs Lok. Tashkent
1:2
Nov 7, 2024 Super League
Din. Samarkand vs Lok. Tashkent
1:2
Jun 17, 2024 Super League
Lok. Tashkent vs Din. Samarkand
0:2
Sep 4, 2023 Pro Liga
Din. Samarkand vs Lok. Tashkent
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lok. Tashkent Compare
Top Goalscorer Turopov D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Abdukholikov T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Din. Samarkand Compare
Top Goalscorer Jumaboev J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lok. Tashkent 58 / 100
Din. Samarkand 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lok. Tashkent Din. Samarkand
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lok. Tashkent Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Din. Samarkand let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.
Lok. Tashkent's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 27 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Solid form: Lok. Tashkent remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Lok. Tashkent VS Din. Samarkand
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Lok. Tashkent
(Home) 20 Sept
Lok. Tashkent
0 : 1 Neftchi Fargona
15 Sept
Bunyodkor
0 : 1 Lok. Tashkent
11 Sept
Lok. Tashkent
3 : 0 Mashal Muborak
04 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 1 Lok. Tashkent
26 Aug
Lok. Tashkent
4 : 1 Bunyodkor
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Lok. Tashkent
0 : 1 Neftchi Fargona
11 Sept
Lok. Tashkent
3 : 0 Mashal Muborak
26 Aug
Lok. Tashkent
4 : 1 Bunyodkor
07 Aug
Lok. Tashkent
2 : 1 Din. Samarkand
27 Jul
Lok. Tashkent
3 : 1 Sogdiana
Page 1 of 3
Din. Samarkand
(Away) 09 Oct
Nasaf Qarshi
2 : 1 Din. Samarkand
17 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
3 : 2 Din. Samarkand
10 Sept
Din. Samarkand
1 : 0 Qizilqum
05 Sept
Kokand 1912
1 : 1 Din. Samarkand
25 Aug
Din. Samarkand
1 : 1 Pakhtakor
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Nasaf Qarshi
2 : 1 Din. Samarkand
17 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
3 : 2 Din. Samarkand
05 Sept
Kokand 1912
1 : 1 Din. Samarkand
19 Aug
OKMK
0 : 1 Din. Samarkand
07 Aug
Lok. Tashkent
2 : 1 Din. Samarkand
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 52:19 | 52 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 23 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 42:21 | 52 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 39:21 | 44 |
| 4 | Nasaf Qarshi | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 35:22 | 37 |
| 5 | Buxoro | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 35:31 | 37 |
| 6 | Lok. Tashkent | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 36:28 | 35 |
| 7 | OKMK | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 31:29 | 35 |
| 8 | Din. Samarkand | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34:36 | 30 |
| 9 | Andijan | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 29:31 | 30 |
| 10 | Qizilqum | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 23:30 | 29 |
| 11 | Sogdiana | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 38:43 | 28 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 19:28 | 26 |
| 13 | Kokand 1912 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 22:30 | 23 |
| 14 | Xorazm Urganch | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 20:34 | 22 |
| 15 | Bunyodkor | 23 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 23:39 | 22 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 23 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 11:47 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)
