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Lok. Tashkent vs Mashal Muborak - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League Lokomotiv Stadium, Tashkent
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Match Events

9'
Ifeanyi I.
30'
Sub
Tukhtasinov T. In: Ganikhonov I.
Out: Tukhtasinov T.
54'
Sub
Murtazoev K. In: Abdulkhakov I.
Out: Murtazoev K.

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Lok. Tashkent and Mashal Muborak finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lok. Tashkent.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Lok. Tashkent
15%
Draws
0%
Mashal Muborak
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lok. Tashkent

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Mashal Muborak haven't matched Lok. Tashkent's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Lok. Tashkent's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Lok. Tashkent Clean Sheet 20%
Mashal Muborak Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lok. Tashkent Mashal Muborak
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 11 4
Draws 6 2
Losses 10 23
Goals Scored 1.41 0.55
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Super League
Lok. Tashkent vs Mashal Muborak
3:0
Mar 5, 2026 Super League
Mashal Muborak vs Lok. Tashkent
0:2
Oct 9, 2023 Pro Liga
Mashal Muborak vs Lok. Tashkent
2:1
May 20, 2023 Pro Liga
Lok. Tashkent vs Mashal Muborak
0:0
Sep 27, 2021 Super League
Lok. Tashkent vs Mashal Muborak
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lok. Tashkent Compare

Top Goalscorer Ivanov N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abdukholikov T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Mashal Muborak Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lok. Tashkent 85 / 100
Mashal Muborak 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lok. Tashkent Mashal Muborak

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lok. Tashkent Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mashal Muborak let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Mashal Muborak lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Lok. Tashkent's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Lok. Tashkent VS Mashal Muborak
2 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lok. Tashkent

(Home)
20 Sept
Lok. Tashkent
0 : 1
Neftchi Fargona
15 Sept
Bunyodkor
0 : 1
Lok. Tashkent
11 Sept
Lok. Tashkent
3 : 0
Mashal Muborak
04 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 1
Lok. Tashkent
26 Aug
Lok. Tashkent
4 : 1
Bunyodkor
Page 1 of 6

Mashal Muborak

(Away)
09 Oct
Kokand 1912
3 : 0
Mashal Muborak
19 Sept
Mashal Muborak
1 : 2
Pakhtakor
11 Sept
Lok. Tashkent
3 : 0
Mashal Muborak
05 Sept
Sogdiana
5 : 2
Mashal Muborak
26 Aug
Mashal Muborak
0 : 2
Navbahor Namangan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftchi Fargona 23 16 4 3 52:19 52
2 Pakhtakor 23 15 7 1 42:21 52
3 Navbahor Namangan 22 13 5 4 39:21 44
4 Nasaf Qarshi 23 10 7 6 35:22 37
5 Buxoro 23 11 4 8 35:31 37
6 Lok. Tashkent 22 10 5 7 36:28 35
7 OKMK 22 10 5 7 31:29 35
8 Din. Samarkand 23 8 6 9 34:36 30
9 Andijan 23 9 3 11 29:31 30
10 Qizilqum 22 9 2 11 23:30 29
11 Sogdiana 22 8 4 10 38:43 28
12 Termez Surkhon 22 7 5 10 19:28 26
13 Kokand 1912 23 5 8 10 22:30 23
14 Xorazm Urganch 23 5 7 11 20:34 22
15 Bunyodkor 23 7 1 15 23:39 22
16 Mashal Muborak 23 1 1 21 11:47 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)