Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lok. Zagreb U19 vs Sturm Graz U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2024/2025 SC Rudes, Zagreb
Lok. Zagreb U19 Logo

Lok. Zagreb U19

Wed, Feb 12, 2025
1 - 2
11:00 AM
Sturm Graz U19 Logo

Sturm Graz U19

Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Osayantin R.
44'
Reic D.
46'
Sub
Markanovic F. In: Pavlovic R.
Out: Markanovic F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Sturm Graz U19 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Lok. Zagreb U19
20%
Draws
46%
Sturm Graz U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sturm Graz U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lok. Zagreb U19 come out ahead of Sturm Graz U19 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Lok. Zagreb U19 a 34% chance of winning this.
  • Lok. Zagreb U19 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sturm Graz U19, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Lok. Zagreb U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Sturm Graz U19 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lok. Zagreb U19 Sturm Graz U19
Matches Played 11 8
Wins 4 3
Draws 4 3
Losses 3 2
Goals Scored 1.64 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2025 UEFA Youth League
Lok. Zagreb U19 vs Sturm Graz U19
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lok. Zagreb U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Djurkovic N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sturm Graz U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Osayantin R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lok. Zagreb U19 49 / 100
Sturm Graz U19 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lok. Zagreb U19 Sturm Graz U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lok. Zagreb U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lok. Zagreb U19's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 11 recent games.

Sturm Graz U19 let in goals in 88% of their last 8 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Lok. Zagreb U19 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lok. Zagreb U19 VS Sturm Graz U19
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lok. Zagreb U19

(Home)
05 Nov
FCSB U19
3 : 2
Lok. Zagreb U19
22 Oct
Lok. Zagreb U19
2 : 3
FCSB U19
12 Feb
Lok. Zagreb U19
1 : 2
Sturm Graz U19
11 Dec
Lok. Zagreb U19
4 : 1
F. Constanta U19
27 Nov
F. Constanta U19
0 : 2
Lok. Zagreb U19
Page 1 of 3

Sturm Graz U19

(Away)
05 Mar
Sturm Graz U19
1 : 2
Olympiacos Piraeus U19
12 Feb
Lok. Zagreb U19
1 : 2
Sturm Graz U19
11 Dec
Lille U19
1 : 1
Sturm Graz U19
27 Nov
Sturm Graz U19
0 : 0
Girona U19
05 Nov
Dortmund U19
2 : 3
Sturm Graz U19
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Salzburg U19 2
Celtic U19 1
Rapid Vienna U19 1
Atl. Madrid U19 2
Lok. Zagreb U19 1
Sturm Graz U19 2
Olympiacos Piraeus U19 1
Girona U19 0
Trabzonspor U19 1
Juventus U19 0
Dynamo Kyiv U19 3
Atalanta U19 4
Betis U19 0
Bayern U19 1
Inter U19 3
Lille U19 1
Real Madrid U19 2
Dortmund U19 0
AZ Alkmaar U19 3
Benfica U19 2
Hoffenheim U19 5
Shakhtar U19 1
Midtjylland U19 2
Manchester City U19 3
Sporting CP U19 4
Monaco U19 0
VfB Stuttgart U19 3
Liverpool U19 2
Puskas Akademia U19 1
Aston Villa U19 2
Barcelona U19 3
Din. Zagreb U19 2
1/8-finals
Salzburg U19 2
Atl. Madrid U19 1
Sturm Graz U19 1
Olympiacos Piraeus U19 2
Trabzonspor U19 1
Atalanta U19 0
Bayern U19 1
Inter U19 2
Real Madrid U19 0
AZ Alkmaar U19 2
Hoffenheim U19 1
Manchester City U19 2
Sporting CP U19 2
VfB Stuttgart U19 3
Aston Villa U19 1
Barcelona U19 3
Quarter-finals
Salzburg U19 1
Olympiacos Piraeus U19 0
Trabzonspor U19 1
Inter U19 0
AZ Alkmaar U19 1
Manchester City U19 0
VfB Stuttgart U19 1
Barcelona U19 2
Semi-finals
Salzburg U19 1
Trabzonspor U19 2
AZ Alkmaar U19 0
Barcelona U19 1
Final
Trabzonspor U19 1
Barcelona U19 4