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Lok. Zagreb vs Velez Mostar Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

64' Event
Milak A.
66' Event
Saric I.
(Penalty)
77' Event
Boskovic B.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Lok. Zagreb and Velez Mostar finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Velez Mostar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Lok. Zagreb
20%
Draws
40%
Velez Mostar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Lok. Zagreb carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Lok. Zagreb Clean Sheet 68%
Velez Mostar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lok. Zagreb Velez Mostar
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 9 7
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.47 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Lok. Zagreb vs Velez Mostar
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lok. Zagreb Compare

Top Goalscorer Boskovic B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Velez Mostar Compare

Top Goalscorer Milak A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lok. Zagreb 41 / 100
Velez Mostar 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lok. Zagreb Velez Mostar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lok. Zagreb Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lok. Zagreb scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Velez Mostar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Velez Mostar registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lok. Zagreb VS Velez Mostar
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lok. Zagreb

(Home)
20 Sept
Din. Zagreb
3 : 2
Lok. Zagreb
12 Sept
Lok. Zagreb
1 : 1
Rijeka
09 Sept
Tomislav DA
0 : 2
Lok. Zagreb
06 Sept
Slaven Belupo
2 : 1
Lok. Zagreb
31 Aug
Hajduk Split
2 : 0
Lok. Zagreb
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Velez Mostar

(Away)
19 Sept
Zrinjski
2 : 0
Velez Mostar
13 Sept
Velez Mostar
1 : 0
FK Sarajevo
06 Sept
Zeljeznicar
3 : 1
Velez Mostar
02 Sept
Velez Mostar
1 : 1
Radnik Bijeljina
28 Aug
Celik Zenica
3 : 0
Velez Mostar
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