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Lokbatan vs Gabala

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

I Liqa 2024/2025
Lokbatan Logo

Lokbatan

0 - 3
FT
Gabala Logo

Gabala

Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
Shuaibu A.
84' Event
Alasgarov S.
88' Event
Massoumou D. J.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gabala in this I Liqa 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gabala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Lokbatan
20%
Draws
73%
Gabala
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gabala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Lokbatan haven't matched Gabala's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Gabala's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Gabala here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Lokbatan Clean Sheet 17%
Gabala Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lokbatan Gabala
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 12
Draws 8 5
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.1 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2025 I Liqa
Lokbatan vs Gabala
0:3
Dec 19, 2024 I Liqa
Gabala vs Lokbatan
3:0
Sep 19, 2024 I Liqa
Lokbatan vs Gabala
0:5
Nov 28, 2012 Azerbaijan Cup
Gabala vs Lokbatan
2:0
Dec 8, 2010 Azerbaijan Cup
Gabala vs Lokbatan
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lokbatan Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Gabala Compare

Top Goalscorer Shuaibu A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alasgarov S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lokbatan 10 / 100
Gabala 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lokbatan Gabala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GAB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lokbatan found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Gabala has conceded goals in 75% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Lokbatan went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lokbatan VS Gabala
1 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lokbatan

(Home)
27 May
Shimal
2 : 1
Lokbatan
28 Oct
Lokbatan
2 : 3
Imisli FK
22 May
Lokbatan
0 : 3
Gabala
16 May
Karvan
2 : 2
Lokbatan
09 May
Lokbatan
0 : 1
MOIK Baku
Page 1 of 6

Gabala

(Away)
28 May
Gabala
2 : 0
Mingachevir
21 May
Gabala
3 : 1
Shamakhi
15 May
Karvan
1 : 2
Gabala
09 May
Gabala
1 : 1
Qarabag Agdam
03 May
Zira FK
1 : 0
Gabala
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gabala 27 21 4 2 56:8 67
2 Imisli FK 27 15 7 5 43:20 52
3 Karvan 27 13 8 6 53:37 47
4 Mingachevir 27 9 8 10 30:36 35
5 Zaqatala PFK 27 8 10 9 35:34 34
6 MOIK Baku 27 8 6 13 29:43 30
7 Cebrayil 27 8 5 14 26:34 29
8 Baku Sporting 27 7 7 13 21:43 28
9 Difai Agsu 27 7 5 15 36:54 26
10 Lokbatan 27 5 8 14 27:47 23
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Main)
Relegation - I Liqa 2024/2025 (Relegation)