Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lokbatan vs Gancabasar

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

I Liqa 2024/2025
Lokbatan Logo

Lokbatan

2 - 0
FT
Gancabasar Logo

Gancabasar

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Balijani S.
70' Event
Nadirov F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The I Liqa 2024/2025 game between Lokbatan and Gancabasar finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lokbatan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Lokbatan
15%
Draws
76%
Gancabasar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gancabasar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Gancabasar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Gancabasar are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular I Liqa 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Gancabasar here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Lokbatan Clean Sheet 12%
Gancabasar Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lokbatan Gancabasar
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 6 12
Draws 8 3
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 1.1 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2025 I Liqa
Gancabasar vs Lokbatan
3:0
Jan 31, 2025 I Liqa
Lokbatan vs Gancabasar
2:0
Oct 2, 2024 I Liqa
Gancabasar vs Lokbatan
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lokbatan Compare

Top Goalscorer Balijani S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nadirov F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Gancabasar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lokbatan 10 / 100
Gancabasar 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lokbatan Gancabasar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gancabasar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lokbatan found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Gancabasar let in goals in 76% of their last 33 matches.

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Lokbatan stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lokbatan VS Gancabasar
1 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Lokbatan

(Home)
27 May
Shimal
2 : 1
Lokbatan
28 Oct
Lokbatan
2 : 3
Imisli FK
22 May
Lokbatan
0 : 3
Gabala
16 May
Karvan
2 : 2
Lokbatan
09 May
Lokbatan
0 : 1
MOIK Baku
Page 1 of 6

Gancabasar

(Away)
17 Sept
Mingachevir
0 : 3
Gancabasar
10 Sept
Gancabasar
2 : 1
FC Khankendi
04 Sept
Shimal
1 : 2
Gancabasar
21 May
Gancabasar
2 : 3
Shimal
15 May
Safa Baku
1 : 0
Gancabasar
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gabala 27 21 4 2 56:8 67
2 Imisli FK 27 15 7 5 43:20 52
3 Karvan 27 13 8 6 53:37 47
4 Mingachevir 27 9 8 10 30:36 35
5 Zaqatala PFK 27 8 10 9 35:34 34
6 MOIK Baku 27 8 6 13 29:43 30
7 Gancabasar 27 8 5 14 26:34 29
8 Baku Sporting 27 7 7 13 21:43 28
9 Difai Agsu 27 7 5 15 36:54 26
10 Lokbatan 27 5 8 14 27:47 23
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Main)
Relegation - I Liqa 2024/2025 (Relegation)