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Lokbatan vs Imisli FK

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

I Liqa 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Pablo Henrique

AI Match Summary

The I Liqa 2024/2025 game between Lokbatan and Imisli FK finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Imisli FK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Lokbatan
33%
Draws
40%
Imisli FK
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Imisli FK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Imisli FK come out ahead of Lokbatan on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Imisli FK's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Imisli FK have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Lokbatan Clean Sheet 18%
Imisli FK Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lokbatan Imisli FK
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 6 9
Draws 8 12
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1 0.63
Goals Conceded 2 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2025 Azerbaijan Cup
Lokbatan vs Imisli FK
2:3
May 2, 2025 I Liqa
Imisli FK vs Lokbatan
3:1
Feb 28, 2025 I Liqa
Lokbatan vs Imisli FK
0:1
Nov 27, 2024 I Liqa
Imisli FK vs Lokbatan
2:1
May 9, 2024 I Liqa
Imisli FK vs Lokbatan
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lokbatan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Imisli FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Pablo Henrique
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lokbatan 28 / 100
Imisli FK 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lokbatan Imisli FK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IMI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lokbatan scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Imisli FK conceded in 67% of 33 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Lokbatan stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lokbatan VS Imisli FK
1 Goals Scored 0.63
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 38%
100% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lokbatan

(Home)
27 May
Shimal
2 : 1
Lokbatan
28 Oct
Lokbatan
2 : 3
Imisli FK
22 May
Lokbatan
0 : 3
Gabala
16 May
Karvan
2 : 2
Lokbatan
09 May
Lokbatan
0 : 1
MOIK Baku
Page 1 of 6

Imisli FK

(Away)
24 May
Imisli FK
1 : 1
Karvan
16 May
Qarabag Agdam
3 : 0
Imisli FK
08 May
Imisli FK
0 : 0
Zira FK
02 May
Araz PFK
0 : 1
Imisli FK
25 Apr
Imisli FK
0 : 2
SumQayit FK
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gabala27214256:867
2Imisli FK27157543:2052
3Karvan27138653:3747
4Mingachevir27981030:3635
5Zaqatala PFK27810935:3434
6MOIK Baku27861329:4330
7Cebrayil27851426:3429
8Baku Sporting27771321:4328
9Difai Agsu27751536:5426
10Lokbatan27581427:4723
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Main)
Relegation - I Liqa 2024/2025 (Relegation)