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Stadium Background

Lokbatan vs Karvan

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

I Liqa 2024/2025
Lokbatan Logo

Lokbatan

1 - 1
FT
Karvan Logo

Karvan

Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Balijani S.
53' Event
Morgan E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this I Liqa 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Lokbatan
20%
Draws
70%
Karvan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Karvan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lokbatan lately — more wins on the board than Karvan.
  • Win probability leans Karvan's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular I Liqa 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Lokbatan Clean Sheet 20%
Karvan Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lokbatan Karvan
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 6 5
Draws 8 7
Losses 16 21
Goals Scored 1.1 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2025 I Liqa
Karvan vs Lokbatan
2:2
Mar 13, 2025 I Liqa
Lokbatan vs Karvan
1:1
Oct 30, 2024 Azerbaijan Cup
Lokbatan vs Karvan
3:0
Sep 11, 2024 I Liqa
Karvan vs Lokbatan
1:0
Apr 18, 2024 I Liqa
Karvan vs Lokbatan
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lokbatan Compare

Top Goalscorer Balijani S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Karvan Compare

Top Goalscorer Morgan E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lokbatan 10 / 100
Karvan 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lokbatan Karvan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karvan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karvan let in goals in 88% of their last 33 matches.

Lokbatan scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Lokbatan stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lokbatan VS Karvan
1 Goals Scored 0.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lokbatan

(Home)
27 May
Shimal
2 : 1
Lokbatan
28 Oct
Lokbatan
2 : 3
Imisli FK
22 May
Lokbatan
0 : 3
Gabala
16 May
Karvan
2 : 2
Lokbatan
09 May
Lokbatan
0 : 1
MOIK Baku
Page 1 of 6

Karvan

(Away)
16 Sept
Karvan
3 : 0
Zaqatala PFK
09 Sept
Sahdag Qusar
2 : 0
Karvan
03 Sept
Baku Sporting
0 : 3
Karvan
24 May
Imisli FK
1 : 1
Karvan
15 May
Karvan
1 : 2
Gabala
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gabala 27 21 4 2 56:8 67
2 Imisli FK 27 15 7 5 43:20 52
3 Karvan 27 13 8 6 53:37 47
4 Mingachevir 27 9 8 10 30:36 35
5 Zaqatala PFK 27 8 10 9 35:34 34
6 MOIK Baku 27 8 6 13 29:43 30
7 Gancabasar 27 8 5 14 26:34 29
8 Baku Sporting 27 7 7 13 21:43 28
9 Difai Agsu 27 7 5 15 36:54 26
10 Lokbatan 27 5 8 14 27:47 23
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Main)
Relegation - I Liqa 2024/2025 (Relegation)