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Lokbatan vs Shamakhi 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Alizada A.

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2022/2023 game between Lokbatan and Shamakhi 2 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shamakhi 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Lokbatan
20%
Draws
73%
Shamakhi 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Shamakhi 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Shamakhi 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Shamakhi 2 are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular First Division 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Lokbatan Clean Sheet 18%
Shamakhi 2 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lokbatan Shamakhi 2
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 6 13
Draws 9 4
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 1.03 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2023 I Liqa
Lokbatan vs Shamakhi 2
0:1
Oct 4, 2022 I Liqa
Shamakhi 2 vs Lokbatan
0:0
Mar 9, 2022 I Liqa
Shamakhi 2 vs Lokbatan
0:1
Oct 15, 2021 I Liqa
Lokbatan vs Shamakhi 2
0:2
Apr 1, 2021 I Liqa
Lokbatan vs Shamakhi 2
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lokbatan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Shamakhi 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Alizada A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lokbatan 28 / 100
Shamakhi 2 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lokbatan Shamakhi 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shamakhi 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Shamakhi 2 conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Lokbatan found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (32 games).

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Lokbatan stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lokbatan VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lokbatan

(Home)
27 May
Shimal
2 : 1
Lokbatan
28 Oct
Lokbatan
2 : 3
Imisli FK
22 May
Lokbatan
0 : 3
Gabala
16 May
Karvan
2 : 2
Lokbatan
09 May
Lokbatan
0 : 1
MOIK Baku
Page 1 of 7

Shamakhi 2

(Away)
23 May
Zira FK 2
2 : 2
Shamakhi 2
18 May
SumQayit FK 2
3 : 4
Shamakhi 2
10 May
Kapaz 2
0 : 1
Shamakhi 2
25 Apr
Shamakhi 2
2 : 1
Imisli FK
18 Apr
Qarabag Agdam 2
5 : 0
Shamakhi 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Araz PFK 28 22 3 3 69:22 69
2 Neftci Baku 2 28 18 5 5 67:32 59
3 Turan 2 28 15 3 10 49:37 48
4 Sabail 2 28 13 5 10 46:44 44
5 Gabala 2 28 12 8 8 45:28 44
6 Zaqatala PFK 28 13 5 10 49:48 44
7 Kapaz 2 28 13 4 11 41:36 43
8 MOIK Baku 28 12 7 9 43:42 43
9 Lokbatan 28 12 5 11 30:23 41
10 Shamakhi 2 28 11 4 13 40:56 37
11 Qarabag Agdam 2 28 9 4 15 32:39 31
12 Zira FK 2 28 6 10 12 28:41 28
13 SumQayit FK 2 28 6 4 18 36:60 22
14 Mingachevir 28 5 5 18 29:51 20
15 Imisli FK 28 6 2 20 21:66 20
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