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Lokomotiv Mezdra vs Sitomir - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-West 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lokomotiv Mezdra in this Third League - North-West 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lokomotiv Mezdra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Lokomotiv Mezdra
20%
Draws
0%
Sitomir
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lokomotiv Mezdra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Sitomir haven't matched Lokomotiv Mezdra's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Lokomotiv Mezdra's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Lokomotiv Mezdra here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Lokomotiv Mezdra Clean Sheet 20%
Sitomir Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lokomotiv Mezdra Sitomir
Matches Played 35 33
Wins 26 4
Draws 6 3
Losses 3 26
Goals Scored 2.71 0.76
Goals Conceded 0.86 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2014 Third League - North-West
Lokomotiv Mezdra vs Sitomir
5:1
Nov 20, 2013 Third League - North-West
Sitomir vs Lokomotiv Mezdra
0:5
Apr 1, 2012 Third League - North-West
Sitomir vs Lokomotiv Mezdra
0:3
Sep 9, 2011 Third League - North-West
Lokomotiv Mezdra vs Sitomir
7:2
May 29, 2011 Third League - North-West
Lokomotiv Mezdra vs Sitomir
7:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lokomotiv Mezdra 85 / 100
Sitomir 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lokomotiv Mezdra Sitomir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lokomotiv Mezdra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lokomotiv Mezdra scored in 89% of their last 35 outings.

Defensive concern: Sitomir conceded in 91% of 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Sitomir lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lokomotiv Mezdra VS -
3 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lokomotiv Mezdra

(Home)
04 Oct
Lokomotiv Mezdra
2 : 3
Pirin Blagoevgrad
26 Sept
Partizan Cerven Brjag
2 : 2
Lokomotiv Mezdra
19 Sept
Lokomotiv Mezdra
3 : 0
Juventus Malchika
12 Sept
Akademik Svishtov
0 : 0
Lokomotiv Mezdra
05 Sept
Lokomotiv Mezdra
4 : 0
Kom Berkovitsa
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Sitomir

(Away)
31 May
Sitomir
0 : 3
Pavlikeni
23 May
Juventus Malchika
3 : 0
Sitomir
17 May
Sitomir
0 : 3
Spartak Pleven
13 May
Bdin Vidin
3 : 0
Sitomir
10 May
Parva Atomna
3 : 0
Sitomir
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lokomotiv Mezdra 30 23 5 2 91:24 74
2 Gorna 30 23 4 3 119:26 73
3 Botev Lukovit 30 23 2 5 61:27 71
4 Spartak Pleven 30 20 5 5 66:27 65
5 Etar 30 19 5 6 61:20 62
6 Partizan Cerven Brjag 30 12 8 10 42:49 44
7 Vidima-Rakovski 30 13 2 15 56:44 41
8 Bdin Vidin 30 12 5 13 48:47 41
9 Parva Atomna 30 9 9 12 45:50 36
10 Sitomir 30 7 7 16 35:62 28
11 OFK Levski 30 7 7 16 34:62 28
12 Belene 30 7 5 18 25:54 26
13 Kom Berkovitsa 30 6 6 18 40:64 24
14 Pavlikeni 30 7 3 20 30:81 24
15 Yantra Gabrovo 30 6 6 18 22:76 24
16 Tryavna 30 3 7 20 19:81 16
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