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Lokomotiv Moscow W vs Krasnodar W

Russia Russia

Supreme Division Women Sapsan Arena
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Korovkina N.
Assist: Yuklyaeva P.
46'
Sub
Nesterenko A. In: Novosad D.
Out: Nesterenko A.
58'
Butkevich V.

AI Match Summary

Lokomotiv Moscow W in this Supreme Division Women matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lokomotiv Moscow W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Lokomotiv Moscow W
6%
Draws
4%
Krasnodar W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Lokomotiv Moscow W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lokomotiv Moscow W lately — more wins on the board than Krasnodar W.
  • Model gives Lokomotiv Moscow W a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Supreme Division Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Lokomotiv Moscow W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Lokomotiv Moscow W Clean Sheet 20%
Krasnodar W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lokomotiv Moscow W Krasnodar W
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 16 11
Draws 4 5
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 2.38 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Supreme Division Women
Lokomotiv Moscow W vs Krasnodar W
2:0
Sep 27, 2025 Supreme Division Women
Krasnodar W vs Lokomotiv Moscow W
0:2
May 10, 2025 Supreme Division Women
Lokomotiv Moscow W vs Krasnodar W
3:0
Jul 29, 2024 Supreme Division Women
Krasnodar W vs Lokomotiv Moscow W
0:2
Mar 30, 2024 Supreme Division Women
Lokomotiv Moscow W vs Krasnodar W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lokomotiv Moscow W Compare

Top Goalscorer Korovkina N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pavlova P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Krasnodar W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lokomotiv Moscow W 85 / 100
Krasnodar W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lokomotiv Moscow W Krasnodar W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lokomotiv Moscow W found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Lokomotiv Moscow W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Krasnodar W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lokomotiv Moscow W VS Krasnodar W
2.38 Goals Scored 0.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%