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Lokomotiv Ruse vs Chernolomets - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2023/2024
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AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-East 2023/2024 game between Lokomotiv Ruse and Chernolomets finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chernolomets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Lokomotiv Ruse
15%
Draws
69%
Chernolomets
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chernolomets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Chernolomets carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Chernolomets's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Third League - North-East 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Lokomotiv Ruse Clean Sheet 10%
Chernolomets Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lokomotiv Ruse Chernolomets
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 2 19
Draws 6 4
Losses 20 8
Goals Scored 0.82 2.52
Goals Conceded 2.75 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 2.12
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2024 Third League - North-East
Chernolomets vs Lokomotiv Ruse
6:2
Nov 4, 2023 Third League - North-East
Lokomotiv Ruse vs Chernolomets
0:2
Apr 30, 2023 Third League - North-East
Lokomotiv Ruse vs Chernolomets
1:0
Oct 22, 2022 Third League - North-East
Chernolomets vs Lokomotiv Ruse
4:4
Mar 5, 2022 Third League - North-East
Chernolomets vs Lokomotiv Ruse
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lokomotiv Ruse 10 / 100
Chernolomets 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lokomotiv Ruse Chernolomets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chernolomets Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Lokomotiv Ruse scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Chernolomets conceded in 58% of 31 recent games.

Solid form: Lokomotiv Ruse remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Chernolomets
0 Goals Scored 3.13
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lokomotiv Ruse

(Home)
01 Jun
Kubrat
2 : 1
Lokomotiv Ruse
26 May
Lokomotiv Ruse
0 : 4
Septemvri Tervel
18 May
Chernolomets
6 : 2
Lokomotiv Ruse
01 May
Fratria
5 : 1
Lokomotiv Ruse
27 Apr
Lokomotiv Ruse
2 : 1
Ustrem Donchevo
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Chernolomets

(Away)
26 Sept
Chernolomets
6 : 0
FK Riltzi
19 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
0 : 1
Chernolomets
13 Sept
Chernolomets
4 : 0
Botev Novi Pazar
05 Sept
Olympic Varna
1 : 3
Chernolomets
29 Aug
Chernolomets
1 : 1
Aksakovo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ludogorets III 26 19 4 3 69:16 61
2 Fratria 26 19 4 3 71:20 61
3 Septemvri Tervel 26 18 4 4 52:19 58
4 Cherno More II 26 16 8 2 49:17 56
5 Chernolomets 26 17 2 7 54:31 53
6 Spartak Varna II 26 16 2 8 66:27 50
7 Benkovski 26 11 2 13 48:45 35
8 Dorostol 26 10 4 12 36:50 34
9 FK Riltzi 26 9 6 11 40:45 33
10 Ustrem Donchevo 26 7 4 15 36:58 25
11 Svetkavitsa 26 4 7 15 26:54 19
12 Dunav Ruse II 26 4 4 18 26:64 16
13 Lokomotiv Ruse 26 2 5 19 22:73 11
14 Kubrat 26 2 0 24 10:86 6
15 Shumen 2007 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Sportist Toshevo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Vtora liga 2024/2025 (Main)