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Lokomotiv Ruse vs Fratria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2023/2024
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AI Match Summary

Fratria in this Third League - North-East 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fratria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Lokomotiv Ruse
20%
Draws
63%
Fratria
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fratria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Fratria have won more games recently than Lokomotiv Ruse.
  • Win probability leans Fratria's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Lokomotiv Ruse Clean Sheet 18%
Fratria Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lokomotiv Ruse Fratria
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 2 15
Draws 6 12
Losses 20 3
Goals Scored 0.82 1.9
Goals Conceded 2.75 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2024 Third League - North-East
Fratria vs Lokomotiv Ruse
5:1
Oct 22, 2023 Third League - North-East
Lokomotiv Ruse vs Fratria
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lokomotiv Ruse 10 / 100
Fratria 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lokomotiv Ruse Fratria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fratria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Lokomotiv Ruse scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Fratria let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Lokomotiv Ruse went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Fratria
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lokomotiv Ruse

(Home)
01 Jun
Kubrat
2 : 1
Lokomotiv Ruse
26 May
Lokomotiv Ruse
0 : 4
Septemvri Tervel
18 May
Chernolomets
6 : 2
Lokomotiv Ruse
01 May
Fratria
5 : 1
Lokomotiv Ruse
27 Apr
Lokomotiv Ruse
2 : 1
Ustrem Donchevo
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Fratria

(Away)
03 Oct
Balkan Botevgrad
0 : 3
Fratria
27 Sept
Fratria
3 : 0
Spartak Pleven
20 Sept
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1 : 2
Fratria
15 Sept
Ludogorets II
1 : 1
Fratria
07 Sept
Fratria
2 : 2
Chernomorets 1919
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ludogorets III 26 19 4 3 69:16 61
2 Fratria 26 19 4 3 71:20 61
3 Septemvri Tervel 26 18 4 4 52:19 58
4 Cherno More II 26 16 8 2 49:17 56
5 Chernolomets 26 17 2 7 54:31 53
6 Spartak Varna II 26 16 2 8 66:27 50
7 Benkovski 26 11 2 13 48:45 35
8 Dorostol 26 10 4 12 36:50 34
9 FK Riltzi 26 9 6 11 40:45 33
10 Ustrem Donchevo 26 7 4 15 36:58 25
11 Svetkavitsa 26 4 7 15 26:54 19
12 Dunav Ruse II 26 4 4 18 26:64 16
13 Lokomotiv Ruse 26 2 5 19 22:73 11
14 Kubrat 26 2 0 24 10:86 6
15 Shumen 2007 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Sportist Toshevo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Vtora liga 2024/2025 (Main)