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Lokomotiva Gradsko vs Pobeda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North Macedonia North Macedonia

2. MFL 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pobeda in this 2. MFL 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pobeda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Lokomotiva Gradsko
15%
Draws
0%
Pobeda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lokomotiva Gradsko

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Lokomotiva Gradsko haven't matched Pobeda's recent run of results.
  • Lokomotiva Gradsko are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 2. MFL 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Pobeda have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Lokomotiva Gradsko Clean Sheet 20%
Pobeda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lokomotiva Gradsko Pobeda
Matches Played 29 38
Wins 2 10
Draws 4 2
Losses 23 26
Goals Scored 0.69 1.21
Goals Conceded 3.03 3.26
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 0.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2022 2. MFL
Lokomotiva Gradsko vs Pobeda
1:2
Dec 11, 2021 2. MFL
Pobeda vs Lokomotiva Gradsko
4:0
Oct 3, 2021 2. MFL
Lokomotiva Gradsko vs Pobeda
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lokomotiva Gradsko 85 / 100
Pobeda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lokomotiva Gradsko Pobeda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lokomotiva Gradsko Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Pobeda conceded in 82% of 38 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Pobeda's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Lokomotiva Gradsko scored in 38% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pobeda
0 Goals Scored 0.13
0 Goals Conceded 3
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lokomotiva Gradsko

(Home)
14 May
FK Pehchevo
3 : 0
Lokomotiva Gradsko
07 May
Lokomotiva Gradsko
2 : 2
Bratstvo 07
30 Apr
Detonit Plackovica
4 : 0
Lokomotiva Gradsko
23 Apr
Lokomotiva Gradsko
0 : 7
Kozuf Gevgelija
16 Apr
Sloga Vinica
8 : 0
Lokomotiva Gradsko
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Pobeda

(Away)
23 May
Bregalnica Stip
7 : 0
Pobeda
16 May
Pobeda
3 : 5
Vardar Negotino
10 May
Kozuf Gevgelija
8 : 0
Pobeda
02 May
Pobeda
0 : 3
Teteks
25 Apr
Pobeda
1 : 8
Osogovo
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pobeda 27 19 5 3 64:21 62
2 Belasica Strumica 27 18 5 4 56:14 59
3 Sloga Vinica 27 17 4 6 41:22 55
4 Kamenica Sasa 27 13 6 8 32:18 45
5 Kozuf Gevgelija 27 9 10 8 31:24 37
6 Detonit Plackovica 27 9 7 11 33:37 34
7 FK Pehchevo 27 10 3 14 35:31 33
8 Osogovo 27 8 7 12 34:45 31
9 Bratstvo 07 27 4 3 20 19:59 15
10 Lokomotiva Gradsko 27 1 4 22 12:86 7
Promotion - 1. MFL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 1. MFL 2021/2022 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sileks 27 20 6 1 55:9 66
2 Voska Sport 27 18 5 4 51:14 59
3 Vardar 27 18 4 5 47:15 58
4 KF Gostivar 27 9 10 8 36:37 37
5 Teteks 27 10 6 11 32:44 36
6 Besa 1976 27 9 8 10 41:28 35
7 Ohrid 27 9 5 13 34:32 32
8 FK Korab 27 7 6 14 33:43 27
9 Veleshta 27 4 6 17 25:61 18
10 Kadino Skopje 27 1 4 22 13:84 7
Promotion - 1. MFL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 1. MFL 2021/2022 (Relegation)