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Lokomotive Leipzig vs Aue - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Queisser L.
70' Event
Kaiser N.
90' Event
Bar M.

AI Match Summary

Aue in this Regionalliga Nordost matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aue.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Lokomotive Leipzig
30%
Draws
47%
Aue
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aue

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Aue have won more games recently than Lokomotive Leipzig.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Lokomotive Leipzig Clean Sheet 13%
Aue Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lokomotive Leipzig Aue
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 13
Draws 6 7
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.71 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Lokomotive Leipzig vs Aue
1:2
Jan 26, 2025 Club Friendly
Lokomotive Leipzig vs Aue
0:0
Jul 7, 2023 Club Friendly
Lokomotive Leipzig vs Aue
1:0
Jul 2, 2022 Club Friendly
Aue vs Lokomotive Leipzig
4:0
Jan 21, 2020 Club Friendly
Aue vs Lokomotive Leipzig
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lokomotive Leipzig Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaiser N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Aue Compare

Top Goalscorer Queisser L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bar M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lokomotive Leipzig 35 / 100
Aue 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lokomotive Leipzig Aue

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aue Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lokomotive Leipzig's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Aue's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Lokomotive Leipzig has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lokomotive Leipzig VS Aue
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lokomotive Leipzig

(Home)
26 Sept
Lokomotive Leipzig
3 : 4
Erfurt
20 Sept
Jena
1 : 2
Lokomotive Leipzig
16 Sept
Lokomotive Leipzig
2 : 2
BFC Dynamo
13 Sept
Greifswalder FC
3 : 3
Lokomotive Leipzig
30 Aug
Lokomotive Leipzig
1 : 2
Aue
Page 1 of 6

Aue

(Away)
27 Sept
Aue
1 : 2
Chemie Leipzig
19 Sept
Erfurt
2 : 2
Aue
16 Sept
Magdeburg II
1 : 2
Aue
12 Sept
Aue
2 : 1
Luckenwalde
30 Aug
Lokomotive Leipzig
1 : 2
Aue
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Erfurt 11 8 3 0 36:11 27
2 Chemnitzer 11 8 2 1 25:5 26
3 Hallescher 11 6 4 1 18:9 22
4 BFC Dynamo 11 6 3 2 20:12 21
5 Altglienicke 11 6 3 2 20:14 21
6 Aue 11 6 3 2 20:16 21
7 Jena 11 6 1 4 19:10 19
8 Greifswalder FC 11 5 4 2 23:16 19
9 Lokomotive Leipzig 11 4 3 4 23:23 15
10 Zwickau 11 4 3 4 13:17 15
11 Magdeburg II 11 4 1 6 20:23 13
12 Babelsberg 11 3 3 5 14:17 12
13 BFC Preussen 11 2 4 5 14:17 10
14 Chemie Leipzig 11 2 3 6 12:17 9
15 Hertha Berlin II 11 2 3 6 9:21 9
16 Rsv Eintracht 11 1 3 7 13:29 6
17 SV Tasmania Berlin 11 1 2 8 13:36 5
18 Luckenwalde 11 1 0 10 9:28 3
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)