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Lokomotyvas Radviliskis vs Zalgiris 2

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga 2016
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Amashukeli B.
(Penalty)
30' Event
Makutunovicius M.
64' Event
Makutunovicius M.

AI Match Summary

The I Lyga 2016 game between Lokomotyvas Radviliskis and Zalgiris 2 finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lokomotyvas Radviliskis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Lokomotyvas Radviliskis
15%
Draws
51%
Zalgiris 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zalgiris 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Zalgiris 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Zalgiris 2 are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular I Lyga 2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Zalgiris 2 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Lokomotyvas Radviliskis Clean Sheet 20%
Zalgiris 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lokomotyvas Radviliskis Zalgiris 2
Matches Played 30 44
Wins 6 22
Draws 4 8
Losses 20 14
Goals Scored 1.43 2.05
Goals Conceded 2.93 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2016 I Lyga
Lokomotyvas Radviliskis vs Zalgiris 2
4:1
Jun 8, 2016 I Lyga
Zalgiris 2 vs Lokomotyvas Radviliskis
5:2
Oct 21, 2015 I Lyga
Zalgiris 2 vs Lokomotyvas Radviliskis
4:1
Jun 24, 2015 I Lyga
Lokomotyvas Radviliskis vs Zalgiris 2
0:5
Jul 27, 2014 I Lyga
Lokomotyvas Radviliskis vs Zalgiris 2
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lokomotyvas Radviliskis Compare

Top Goalscorer Makutunovicius M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Maciulevicius D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Zalgiris 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lokomotyvas Radviliskis 20 / 100
Zalgiris 2 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lokomotyvas Radviliskis Zalgiris 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zalgiris 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Lokomotyvas Radviliskis scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Zalgiris 2 let in goals in 70% of their last 44 matches.

Recent resilience: Lokomotyvas Radviliskis stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Zalgiris 2
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lokomotyvas Radviliskis

(Home)
23 Oct
Lokomotyvas Radviliskis
5 : 1
FK Minija
16 Oct
Marijampole City
7 : 0
Lokomotyvas Radviliskis
08 Oct
Silute
1 : 1
Lokomotyvas Radviliskis
02 Oct
Lokomotyvas Radviliskis
4 : 1
Zalgiris 2
25 Sept
FK Krazante Kelme
2 : 3
Lokomotyvas Radviliskis
Page 1 of 6

Zalgiris 2

(Away)
12 Sept
Tauras Taurage
0 : 1
Zalgiris 2
07 Sept
Zalgiris 2
1 : 0
Neptunas
28 Aug
Dainava Alytus
0 : 1
Zalgiris 2
25 Aug
Zalgiris 2
4 : 3
Transinvest 2
14 Aug
Siauliai 2
1 : 4
Zalgiris 2
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marijampole City 30 23 3 4 95:25 72
2 Palanga 30 21 7 2 96:29 70
3 Vilniaus Vytis 30 19 3 8 102:34 60
4 Nevezis Kedainiai 30 17 9 4 76:38 60
5 FK Panevezys 30 17 8 5 68:35 59
6 Banga 30 15 7 8 62:31 52
7 Dziugas Telsiai 30 15 3 12 51:44 48
8 Zalgiris 2 30 14 3 13 62:61 45
9 Dainava Alytus 30 13 4 13 57:46 43
10 FC Hegelmann 30 13 3 14 55:56 42
11 Riteriai 2 30 9 3 18 44:59 30
12 Silute 30 8 6 16 38:60 30
13 FK Krazante Kelme 30 8 4 18 47:86 28
14 Lokomotyvas Radviliskis 30 6 5 19 42:86 23
15 FBK Kaunas 30 4 1 25 25:134 13
16 FK Minija 30 3 1 26 27:123 10
Promotion - A Lyga 2017 (Main)
Promotion - A Lyga 2016 (Relegation)