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Lombard Papa vs Soproni VSE

Hungary Hungary

League Cup Perutz Stadion
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lombard Papa play Soproni VSE in the League Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Lombard Papa averaged 0.67 goals scored and 1.73 conceded. Soproni VSE averaged 0.97 goals scored and 2.09 conceded. In past meetings, Lombard Papa won 2, Soproni VSE won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 4, 2015 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.98 for Lombard Papa and 1.11 for Soproni VSE. This points to a Lombard Papa double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Lombard Papa
23%
Draws
26%
Soproni VSE
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Lombard Papa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Lombard Papa picked up more points recently compared to Soproni VSE.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.98 vs 1.11 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
Lombard Papa Clean Sheet 21%
Soproni VSE Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lombard Papa Soproni VSE
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 3
Draws 7 8
Losses 17 21
Goals Scored 0.67 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.73 2.09

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2015 Club Friendly
Lombard Papa vs Soproni VSE
0:0
Nov 11, 2014 League Cup
Lombard Papa vs Soproni VSE
1:0
Sep 16, 2014 League Cup
Soproni VSE vs Lombard Papa
2:0
Feb 5, 2014 Club Friendly
Lombard Papa vs Soproni VSE
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lombard Papa Compare

Top Goalscorer Kenesei K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Soproni VSE Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lombard Papa 50 / 100
Soproni VSE 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lombard Papa Soproni VSE

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Lombard Papa or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18.8%
2.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Lombard Papa attacking → ← attacking Soproni VSE

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lombard Papa scored in 40% of their last 30 games.

Soproni VSE let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Lombard Papa went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Soproni VSE lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

25 Points in last 5 17
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Nyiregyhaza64118:413
2DVTK631212:810
3Cegledi62049:126
4Szolnoki MAV62046:116
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Debrecen641117:413
2Bekescsaba 1912630310:149
3Kecskemeti TE62136:97
4Szeged-Csanad GA61235:115
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1MTK Budapest650116:815
2Dunaujvaros641118:813
3Mezokovesd-Zsory620413:206
4Balmazujvaros Sport60157:181
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Honved641119:1213
2Gyor631217:1210
3Gyirmot FC Gyor621310:127
4Csakvari611413:234
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Videoton641118:513
2Ujpest641114:813
3Vasas621310:137
4Ajka60155:211
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ferencvaros63219:411
2Paks623113:109
3Zalaegerszegi61325:76
4Kaposvar62046:126
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Haladas641112:413
2Soproni VSE63127:510
3Lombard Papa62135:77
4Siofok61143:114
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Szigetszentmiklos632110:311
2Pecsi MFC63218:511
3Soroksar62138:127
4Puskas Academy61146:124