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Lommel SK vs Royal Excel Mouscron

Belgium Belgium

1B Pro League 2021/2022 Soevereinstadion, Lommel
Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Gonzalez J.
43'
Martinez A.
46'
Sub
Martinez A. In: Saito K.
Out: Martinez A.

AI Match Summary

The 1B Pro League 2021/2022 game between Lommel SK and Royal Excel Mouscron finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Lommel SK
15%
Draws
26%
Royal Excel Mouscron
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lommel SK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Lommel SK carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Lommel SK's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Lommel SK Clean Sheet 68%
Royal Excel Mouscron Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lommel SK Royal Excel Mouscron
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 15 9
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.52 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2022 Challenger Pro League
Lommel SK vs Royal Excel Mouscron
0:0
Dec 11, 2021 Challenger Pro League
Royal Excel Mouscron vs Lommel SK
2:1
Oct 17, 2021 Challenger Pro League
Lommel SK vs Royal Excel Mouscron
3:0
Aug 21, 2021 Challenger Pro League
Royal Excel Mouscron vs Lommel SK
0:1
Mar 8, 2014 Challenger Pro League
Lommel SK vs Royal Excel Mouscron
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lommel SK 95 / 100
Royal Excel Mouscron 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lommel SK Royal Excel Mouscron

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lommel SK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lommel SK scored in 70% of their last 33 games.

Defensive concern: Royal Excel Mouscron conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Lommel SK has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lommel SK VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lommel SK

(Home)
26 Sept
Diksmuide Oostende
0 : 2
Lommel SK
19 Sept
Lommel SK
0 : 0
KV Mechelen
12 Sept
Royale Union SG
5 : 0
Lommel SK
04 Sept
Lommel SK
0 : 1
Club Brugge
29 Aug
Cercle Brugge
0 : 1
Lommel SK
Page 1 of 7

Royal Excel Mouscron

(Away)
17 Apr
SK Beveren
2 : 0
Royal Excel Mouscron
08 Apr
Royal Excel Mouscron
2 : 6
Westerlo
03 Apr
Virton
2 : 0
Royal Excel Mouscron
18 Mar
Royal Excel Mouscron
1 : 2
Deinze
13 Mar
Lierse SK
0 : 1
Royal Excel Mouscron
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Westerlo 28 17 5 6 52:29 56
2 RWDM Brussels 28 14 7 7 41:33 49
3 SK Beveren 28 12 5 11 47:40 41
4 Deinze 28 9 12 7 47:39 39
5 Lierse SK 28 9 9 10 39:42 36
6 Lommel SK 28 9 8 11 39:40 35
7 Royal Excel Mouscron 28 8 6 14 31:45 30
8 Virton 28 5 6 17 24:52 21
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