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Londrina vs Vila Nova FC

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Vitorino Goncalves Dias (VGD)
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Gustavo Puskas
6'
Lucas Marques
11'

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Londrina and Vila Nova FC finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vila Nova FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Londrina
6%
Draws
4%
Vila Nova FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Londrina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Vila Nova FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Londrina's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Londrina Clean Sheet 68%
Vila Nova FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Londrina Vila Nova FC
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 13
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 2 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Serie B
Londrina vs Vila Nova FC
0:1
Nov 10, 2023 Serie B
Vila Nova FC vs Londrina
4:1
Jul 15, 2023 Serie B
Londrina vs Vila Nova FC
1:0
Aug 12, 2022 Serie B
Vila Nova FC vs Londrina
0:0
Apr 29, 2022 Serie B
Londrina vs Vila Nova FC
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Londrina Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Vila Nova FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Andre Luis
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Londrina 95 / 100
Vila Nova FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Londrina Vila Nova FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Londrina remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Londrina scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Vila Nova FC let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Londrina VS Vila Nova FC
2 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Criciuma1796220:1233
2Vila Nova FC1794425:1931
3Operario-PR1794422:1831
4Novorizontino1786328:1630
5EC Juventude1785417:829
6Fortaleza1784520:1728
7Sao Bernardo1775523:1626
8Sport Recife1768321:1526
9Goias1774618:2325
10Atletico GO1766519:1924
11Cuiaba1759314:1124
12Athletic Club1758416:1623
13Nautico1763821:2121
14Botafogo SP1755720:1820
15CRB1755726:3120
16Londrina1754825:2519
17Ceara1746715:2018
18Avai1744918:2416
19Ponte Preta17221311:338
20America MG17141211:287