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Long Eaton vs Chesterfield - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

78' Event
Taylor J.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2024 game between Long Eaton and Chesterfield finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Long Eaton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Long Eaton
15%
Draws
78%
Chesterfield
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chesterfield

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Chesterfield carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Chesterfield's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Long Eaton Clean Sheet 18%
Chesterfield Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Long Eaton Chesterfield
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 4 14
Draws 7 7
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 1.28 1.47
Goals Conceded 2.59 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2024 Club Friendly
Long Eaton vs Chesterfield
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Long Eaton Compare

Top Goalscorer Taylor J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Chesterfield Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Long Eaton 10 / 100
Chesterfield 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Long Eaton Chesterfield

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chesterfield Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Long Eaton scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Chesterfield's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Long Eaton remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Long Eaton VS Chesterfield
2 Goals Scored 0.63
2 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 38%
100% Over 2.5 25%
100% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Long Eaton

(Home)
11 Jul
Long Eaton
2 : 2
Redditch
06 Sept
Long Eaton
2 : 3
Carlton Town
30 Aug
Long Eaton
1 : 4
Kettering
26 Jul
Long Eaton
2 : 3
Rushall
31 Aug
Newcastle Town
2 : 1
Long Eaton
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Chesterfield

(Away)
03 Oct
Chesterfield
4 : 2
Tranmere
26 Sept
Cheltenham
2 : 1
Chesterfield
22 Sept
Chesterfield
2 : 1
Port Vale
19 Sept
Chesterfield
2 : 0
York City
15 Sept
Chesterfield
5 : 3
Manchester City U21
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