Sport Picks
Long Eaton vs St Ives Town
England
Southern League Premier Central 2023/2024 
Match Events
17'
17'
Tomlinson J.
19'
19'
Cocks C.
26'
26'
Cocks C.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Southern League Premier Central 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
30%
58%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: St Ives Town
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to St Ives Town lately — more wins on the board than Long Eaton.
- 58% — that's where the model lands on St Ives Town taking it.
- Regular Southern League Premier Central 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Long Eaton Clean Sheet 19%
St Ives Town Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Long Eaton | St Ives Town |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 33 |
| Wins | 4 | 6 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 18 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 1.27 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.59 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 16, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Long Eaton vs St Ives Town
3:3
Dec 2, 2023 Southern League Premier Central
St Ives Town vs Long Eaton
5:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Long Eaton Compare
Top Goalscorer Cocks C.
2 Goals Assists Leader Loughlan L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13
St Ives Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Tomlinson J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Cowling M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Long Eaton 12 / 100
St Ives Town 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Long Eaton St Ives Town
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick St Ives Town Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
St Ives Town has conceded goals in 91% of their last 33 outings.
H2H data points to 5.50 goals as a typical output.
Long Eaton's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Long Eaton has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Long Eaton VS St Ives Town
2 Goals Scored 0.5
2 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Long Eaton
(Home) 11 Jul
Long Eaton
2 : 2 Redditch
06 Sept
Long Eaton
2 : 3 Carlton Town
30 Aug
Long Eaton
1 : 4 Kettering
26 Jul
Long Eaton
2 : 3 Rushall
31 Aug
Newcastle Town
2 : 1 Long Eaton
Page 1 of 6
11 Jul
Long Eaton
2 : 2 Redditch
06 Sept
Long Eaton
2 : 3 Carlton Town
30 Aug
Long Eaton
1 : 4 Kettering
26 Jul
Long Eaton
2 : 3 Rushall
26 Jul
Long Eaton
1 : 0 Chesterfield
Page 1 of 3
St Ives Town
(Away) 29 Aug
Boldmere St Michaels
2 : 1 St Ives Town
28 Jul
St Ives Town
3 : 2 Stortford
25 Apr
St Ives Town
0 : 0 Stratford
18 Apr
Worcester
2 : 2 St Ives Town
11 Apr
St Ives Town
0 : 2 Bromsgrove
Page 1 of 7
29 Aug
Boldmere St Michaels
2 : 1 St Ives Town
18 Apr
Worcester
2 : 2 St Ives Town
06 Apr
Royston Town
0 : 2 St Ives Town
28 Mar
Stourbridge
4 : 3 St Ives Town
24 Mar
Alvechurch
1 : 1 St Ives Town
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Needham Market | 40 | 26 | 7 | 7 | 74:34 | 85 |
| 2 | Telford | 40 | 24 | 10 | 6 | 69:34 | 82 |
| 3 | Leamington | 40 | 19 | 14 | 7 | 61:32 | 71 |
| 4 | Redditch | 40 | 21 | 7 | 12 | 65:52 | 70 |
| 5 | Mickleover | 40 | 25 | 6 | 9 | 77:43 | 69 |
| 6 | Stratford | 40 | 21 | 6 | 13 | 69:57 | 69 |
| 7 | Stamford | 40 | 19 | 9 | 12 | 80:58 | 66 |
| 8 | Halesowen | 40 | 18 | 8 | 14 | 54:50 | 62 |
| 9 | St Ives Town | 40 | 18 | 4 | 18 | 87:72 | 58 |
| 10 | Royston Town | 40 | 17 | 6 | 17 | 63:61 | 57 |
| 11 | Coalville Town | 40 | 15 | 10 | 15 | 68:57 | 55 |
| 12 | Stourbridge | 40 | 14 | 10 | 16 | 52:50 | 52 |
| 13 | Leiston | 40 | 14 | 10 | 16 | 56:71 | 52 |
| 14 | Barwell | 40 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 64:65 | 51 |
| 15 | Kettering | 40 | 13 | 9 | 18 | 49:74 | 48 |
| 16 | Alvechurch | 40 | 12 | 9 | 19 | 49:70 | 45 |
| 17 | Bromsgrove | 40 | 12 | 8 | 20 | 44:51 | 44 |
| 18 | Sudbury | 40 | 10 | 10 | 20 | 53:62 | 40 |
| 19 | Hitchin | 40 | 11 | 6 | 23 | 46:64 | 39 |
| 20 | Long Eaton | 40 | 5 | 7 | 28 | 39:109 | 22 |
| 21 | Berkhamsted Town | 40 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 31:84 | 21 |
| 22 | Nuneaton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
