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Long Eaton vs Telford

England England

Southern League Premier Central 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Dinanga R.
60' Event
Stenson M.
88' Event
Dinanga R.

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier Central 2023/2024 game between Long Eaton and Telford finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Telford.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Long Eaton
30%
Draws
58%
Telford
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Telford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Telford carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Long Eaton Clean Sheet 16%
Telford Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Long Eaton Telford
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 4 8
Draws 7 9
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 1.28 1.26
Goals Conceded 2.59 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Long Eaton vs Telford
0:3
Nov 4, 2023 Southern League Premier Central
Telford vs Long Eaton
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Long Eaton Compare

Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Telford Compare

Top Goalscorer Dinanga R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Stenson M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Long Eaton 36 / 100
Telford 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Long Eaton Telford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Telford Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Long Eaton scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Telford's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Long Eaton stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Long Eaton VS Telford
2 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Long Eaton

(Home)
11 Jul
Long Eaton
2 : 2
Redditch
06 Sept
Long Eaton
2 : 3
Carlton Town
30 Aug
Long Eaton
1 : 4
Kettering
26 Jul
Long Eaton
2 : 3
Rushall
31 Aug
Newcastle Town
2 : 1
Long Eaton
Page 1 of 6

Telford

(Away)
26 Sept
Telford
0 : 5
King’s Lynn
22 Sept
Worksop
5 : 2
Telford
19 Sept
Telford
2 : 2
Worksop
12 Sept
Harborough
0 : 0
Telford
08 Sept
Telford
1 : 0
Oxford City
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Needham Market 40 26 7 7 74:34 85
2 Telford 40 24 10 6 69:34 82
3 Leamington 40 19 14 7 61:32 71
4 Redditch 40 21 7 12 65:52 70
5 Mickleover 40 25 6 9 77:43 69
6 Stratford 40 21 6 13 69:57 69
7 Stamford 40 19 9 12 80:58 66
8 Halesowen 40 18 8 14 54:50 62
9 St Ives Town 40 18 4 18 87:72 58
10 Royston Town 40 17 6 17 63:61 57
11 Coalville Town 40 15 10 15 68:57 55
12 Stourbridge 40 14 10 16 52:50 52
13 Leiston 40 14 10 16 56:71 52
14 Barwell 40 13 12 15 64:65 51
15 Kettering 40 13 9 18 49:74 48
16 Alvechurch 40 12 9 19 49:70 45
17 Bromsgrove 40 12 8 20 44:51 44
18 Sudbury 40 10 10 20 53:62 40
19 Hitchin 40 11 6 23 46:64 39
20 Long Eaton 40 5 7 28 39:109 22
21 Berkhamsted Town 40 3 12 25 31:84 21
22 Nuneaton 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central 2023/2024 (Play Offs)