Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Long Island vs Jersey Express

USA USA

USL Premier Development League 2015
Long Island Logo

Long Island

1 - 3
FT
Jersey Express Logo

Jersey Express

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Jersey Express in this USL Premier Development League 2015 tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Long Island
15%
Draws
32%
Jersey Express
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Long Island

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Long Island lately — more wins on the board than Jersey Express.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Long Island taking it.
  • Long Island have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Jersey Express, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Long Island Clean Sheet 20%
Jersey Express Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Long Island Jersey Express
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 11
Draws 5 2
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 2.4 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.2 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.98 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2015 USL League Two
Long Island vs Jersey Express
1:3
Jun 3, 2015 USL League Two
Jersey Express vs Long Island
2:1
May 16, 2015 USL League Two
Long Island vs Jersey Express
2:1
Jul 19, 2014 USL League Two
Jersey Express vs Long Island
2:2
May 31, 2014 USL League Two
Long Island vs Jersey Express
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Long Island 85 / 100
Jersey Express 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Long Island Jersey Express

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Long Island Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Long Island scored in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Jersey Express has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Long Island stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Long Island VS -
2.75 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Long Island

(Home)
11 Jul
Motown 2
4 : 2
Long Island
02 Jul
Cedar Stars Rush
1 : 1
Long Island
27 Jun
Staten Island ASC
0 : 6
Long Island
26 Jun
Long Island
4 : 1
Cedar Stars Rush
21 Jun
Long Island
4 : 0
Westchester Flames
Page 1 of 6

Jersey Express

(Away)
15 Jul
Jersey Express
7 : 1
Euro New York
13 Jul
Jersey Express
1 : 4
Reading
08 Jul
Reading
5 : 0
Jersey Express
02 Jul
Jersey Express
2 : 1
Northern Virginia
29 Jun
Jersey Express
1 : 5
New York Red Bulls U23
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Charlotte Eagles 3
Cincinnati Dutch Lions 2
Long Island 1
Jersey Express 3
New York Red Bulls U23 -
TBD -
Portland Phoenix 2
Seacoast United Phantoms 1
Ocala Stampede -
TBD -
TBD -
Midland Odessa -
Mississippi Brilla -
TBD -
TBD -
Miami City -
Flint City -
TBD -
TBD -
Thunder Bay Chill -
Menace -
TBD -
Kitchener-Waterloo United FC 2
Forest City London 0
Kitsap Pumas -
TBD -
Tucson 2
Albuquerque Sol 1
Portland Timbers 3 1
Sound FC 4
Burlingame 1
Ventura 0
1/8-finals
Charlotte Eagles 1
Jersey Express 2
New York Red Bulls U23 4
Portland Phoenix 0
Ocala Stampede 1
Midland Odessa 0
Mississippi Brilla 0
Miami City 1
Flint City 3
Thunder Bay Chill 2
Menace 2
Kitchener-Waterloo United FC 3
Kitsap Pumas 1
Tucson 4
Sound FC 1
Burlingame 0
Quarter-finals
Jersey Express 1
New York Red Bulls U23 2
Ocala Stampede 2
Miami City 0
Flint City 1
Kitchener-Waterloo United FC 3
Tucson 1
Sound FC 2
Semi-finals
New York Red Bulls U23 2
Ocala Stampede 1
Kitchener-Waterloo United FC 1
Sound FC 0
Final
New York Red Bulls U23 3
Kitchener-Waterloo United FC 4