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Long Island vs Staten Island ASC

USA USA

USL League Two
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The USL League Two game between Long Island and Staten Island ASC finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Long Island.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Long Island
6%
Draws
4%
Staten Island ASC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Long Island

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Long Island come out ahead of Staten Island ASC on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Long Island taking it.
  • Regular USL League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Long Island have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Long Island Clean Sheet 68%
Staten Island ASC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Long Island Staten Island ASC
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 7
Draws 6 4
Losses 7 19
Goals Scored 2.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.88 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 USL League Two
Staten Island ASC vs Long Island
0:6
May 27, 2026 USL League Two
Long Island vs Staten Island ASC
3:0
Jul 2, 2025 USL League Two
Staten Island ASC vs Long Island
1:6
Jul 3, 2024 USL League Two
Staten Island ASC vs Long Island
0:3
Jun 27, 2024 USL League Two
Long Island vs Staten Island ASC
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Long Island 95 / 100
Staten Island ASC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Long Island Staten Island ASC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Long Island scored in 94% of their last 31 outings.

Staten Island ASC let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Long Island has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Long Island VS Staten Island ASC
2.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%