Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Longa '30 vs Motherwell

World World

Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Ferrie M.
24' Event
Spittal B.
38' Event
Spittal B.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2023 game between Longa '30 and Motherwell finished 0-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Motherwell.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Longa '30
15%
Draws
85%
Motherwell
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Motherwell

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Motherwell carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Motherwell taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Longa '30 Clean Sheet 10%
Motherwell Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Longa '30 Motherwell
Matches Played 4 31
Wins 0 11
Draws 0 5
Losses 4 15
Goals Scored 0.75 1.58
Goals Conceded 6.25 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 30, 2023 Club Friendly
Longa '30 vs Motherwell
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Longa '30 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Motherwell Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferrie M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Spittal B.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Longa '30 10 / 100
Motherwell 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Longa '30 Motherwell

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Motherwell Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Motherwell's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

Motherwell lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Longa '30 scored in 25% of their last 4 outings.

Scoring Trends

Longa '30 VS Motherwell
0 Goals Scored 1.75
4 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Longa '30

(Home)
01 Sept
Longa '30
0 : 4
Koninklijke HFC
30 Jun
Longa '30
0 : 6
Motherwell
01 Aug
Nijmegen
8 : 0
Longa '30
26 Aug
Ter Leede
7 : 3
Longa '30

Motherwell

(Away)
19 Sept
Dundee FC
2 : 1
Motherwell
15 Sept
Motherwell
0 : 4
Aberdeen
05 Sept
Rangers
1 : 0
Motherwell
02 Sept
Motherwell
3 : 0
Dundee Utd
30 Aug
St. Mirren
3 : 3
Motherwell
Page 1 of 7