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Longford vs Bray - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 Bishopsgate, Longford
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Doran A.
17' Event
Mustali E.
25'
Adenekan S.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between Longford and Bray finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Longford.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Longford
30%
Draws
39%
Bray
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bray

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Longford have managed 1.72 goals a game lately — Bray are scoring more at 2.33.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Longford Clean Sheet 10%
Bray Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Longford Bray
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 6 7
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.72 2.33
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Division 1
Longford vs Bray
4:2
Jun 19, 2026 Division 1
Bray vs Longford
5:2
Apr 11, 2026 Division 1
Longford vs Bray
1:0
Feb 13, 2026 Division 1
Bray vs Longford
1:1
Sep 26, 2025 Division 1
Bray vs Longford
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Longford Compare

Top Goalscorer Doran A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader McCarthy T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Bray Compare

Top Goalscorer Mustali E.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Longford 30 / 100
Bray 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Longford Bray

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Longford found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Bray has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Longford has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Longford VS Bray
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Longford

(Home)
09 Oct
UC Dublin
1 : 1
Longford
02 Oct
Wexford
3 : 3
Longford
26 Sept
Longford
2 : 1
Cork City
18 Sept
Finn Harps
0 : 1
Longford
12 Sept
Longford
0 : 2
Treaty United
Page 1 of 6

Bray

(Away)
09 Oct
Bray
2 : 2
Wexford
02 Oct
Bray
1 : 4
Cobh Ramblers
25 Sept
UC Dublin
1 : 3
Bray
18 Sept
Bray
2 : 0
Treaty United
11 Sept
Kerry
0 : 1
Bray
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cork City 35 23 5 7 73:34 74
2 Bray 35 15 9 11 67:51 54
3 UC Dublin 35 15 8 12 62:49 53
4 Kerry 35 14 9 12 44:40 51
5 Longford 35 13 10 12 48:46 49
6 Cobh Ramblers 35 14 7 14 46:52 49
7 Athlone 35 13 9 13 42:42 48
8 Wexford 35 11 9 15 42:53 42
9 Treaty United 35 10 9 16 35:53 39
10 Finn Harps 35 6 7 22 31:70 25
Promotion - Premier Division 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Play Offs)