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Longford vs Bray

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 Bishopsgate, Longford
Sat, Aug 22, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Longford host Bray in the Division 1. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Bray have shipped 1.34 goals a game lately, while Longford have conceded 1.31 and scored 1.48. Head-to-head, Longford have won 2 to Bray's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 19, 2026, ending 5:2. Model xG sits at 2.19 vs 1.81, favoring Bray. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Longford
15%
Draws
42%
Bray
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Longford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bray come out ahead of Longford on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Longford's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Longford Clean Sheet 11%
Bray Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Longford Bray
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.48 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2026 Division 1
Bray vs Longford
5:2
Apr 11, 2026 Division 1
Longford vs Bray
1:0
Feb 13, 2026 Division 1
Bray vs Longford
1:1
Sep 26, 2025 Division 1
Bray vs Longford
0:2
Jul 26, 2025 Division 1
Longford vs Bray
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Longford 40 / 100
Bray 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Longford Bray

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Longford scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Bray conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Bray registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Longford VS Bray
3 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Longford

(Home)
16 Aug
Bohemians
4 : 0
Longford
07 Aug
Athlone
2 : 1
Longford
03 Aug
Longford
5 : 0
Finn Harps
31 Jul
Treaty United
0 : 1
Longford
25 Jul
Longford
1 : 2
Wexford
Page 1 of 6

Bray

(Away)
14 Aug
Galway United
2 : 1
Bray
07 Aug
Bray
5 : 0
Finn Harps
03 Aug
Wexford
2 : 1
Bray
31 Jul
Bray
0 : 4
Kerry
24 Jul
Cobh Ramblers
1 : 2
Bray
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cork City 27 20 3 4 57:23 63
2 Bray 27 12 7 8 54:37 43
3 UC Dublin 27 13 4 10 46:32 43
4 Longford 27 10 7 10 35:34 37
5 Cobh Ramblers 27 11 4 12 29:37 37
6 Kerry 27 9 8 10 34:33 35
7 Wexford 27 9 7 11 32:39 34
8 Athlone 27 8 7 12 26:33 31
9 Treaty United 27 7 8 12 26:39 29
10 Finn Harps 27 5 7 15 21:53 22
Promotion - Premier Division 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Play Offs)