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Longford vs Sheriff YC Prediction & H2H Stats

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2015 Bishopsgate, Longford
Longford Logo

Longford

3 - 1
FT
Sheriff YC Logo

Sheriff YC

Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
O'Sullivan D.
45' Event
Flood J.
46' Event
Ben M. A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Longford advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Longford
15%
Draws
26%
Sheriff YC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Longford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Longford carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Longford are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Longford have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Longford, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Longford Clean Sheet 16%
Sheriff YC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Longford Sheriff YC
Matches Played 32 16
Wins 15 7
Draws 7 1
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.78 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2015 FAI Cup
Longford vs Sheriff YC
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Longford Compare

Top Goalscorer O'Sullivan D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ben M. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.57
Avg xA / game 1.02

Sheriff YC Compare

Top Goalscorer Flood J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Longford 39 / 100
Sheriff YC 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Longford Sheriff YC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Longford Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sheriff YC let in goals in 81% of their last 16 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Longford found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (32 games).

Recent resilience: Longford stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Longford VS -
2.88 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Longford

(Home)
02 Oct
Wexford
3 : 3
Longford
26 Sept
Longford
2 : 1
Cork City
18 Sept
Finn Harps
0 : 1
Longford
12 Sept
Longford
0 : 2
Treaty United
05 Sept
Longford
0 : 1
Kerry
Page 1 of 7

Sheriff YC

(Away)
25 May
St. Michaels
1 : 0
Sheriff YC
13 Aug
Bluebell Utd
3 : 0
Sheriff YC
29 Apr
Greystones United
0 : 3
Sheriff YC
22 May
Janesboro
2 : 1
Sheriff YC
11 Sept
Longford
3 : 1
Sheriff YC
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Bray -
TBD -
TBD -
Limerick -
Firhouse 1
Glenville 0
TBD -
Bohemians -
Tolka -
TBD -
TBD -
Waterford -
Cobh Ramblers -
TBD -
Dunboyne 0
Killester Donnycarney 3
Derry City -
TBD -
TBD -
Edenderry Town -
Cabinteely -
TBD -
TBD -
Drogheda -
St. Patricks -
TBD -
TBD -
Shamrock Rovers -
Wexford -
TBD -
TBD -
Cork City -
Dundalk -
TBD -
TBD -
Shelbourne -
North End United 4
University College Cork 0
TBD -
Galway United -
Cobh Wanderers 2
Clonmel Celtic 0
St. Marys 0
Avondale United 1
Crumlin Utd 1
College Corinthians 0
TBD -
Sligo Rovers -
Sheriff YC -
TBD -
TBD -
UC Dublin -
Liffey Wanderers -
TBD -
TBD -
Athlone -
Cockhill 1
Casement Celtic 0
Arklow 2
St Mochta's 5
Finn Harps -
TBD -
TBD -
Longford -
1/16-finals
Bray 3
Limerick 1
Firhouse 1
Bohemians 4
Tolka 2
Waterford 1
Cobh Ramblers 0
Killester Donnycarney 3
Derry City 3
Edenderry Town 0
Cabinteely 1
Drogheda 3
St. Patricks 2
Shamrock Rovers 1
Wexford 0
Cork City 2
Dundalk 5
Shelbourne 0
North End United 0
Galway United 1
Cobh Wanderers 6
Avondale United 3
Crumlin Utd 0
Sligo Rovers 2
Sheriff YC 3
UC Dublin 1
Liffey Wanderers 2
Athlone 3
Cockhill 3
St Mochta's 0
Finn Harps 1
Longford 2
1/8-finals
Bray 1
Bohemians 0
Tolka 0
Killester Donnycarney 4
Derry City 3
Drogheda 0
St. Patricks 0
Cork City 4
Dundalk 4
Galway United 1
Cobh Wanderers 0
Sligo Rovers 4
Sheriff YC 3
Athlone 2
Cockhill 0
Longford 2
Quarter-finals
Bray 2
Killester Donnycarney 0
Derry City 1
Cork City 4
Dundalk 4
Sligo Rovers 0
Sheriff YC 1
Longford 3
Semi-finals
Bray 0
Cork City 1
Dundalk 2
Longford 0
Final
Cork City 0
Dundalk 1