Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Longford vs UC Dublin

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 Bishopsgate
Sat, Jul 4, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Longford play UC Dublin in the Division 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, Longford averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1.46 conceded. UC Dublin averaged 1.7 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. In past meetings, Longford won 0, UC Dublin won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 1, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Longford and 1.75 for UC Dublin. This points to a UC Dublin double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Longford
26%
Draws
41%
UC Dublin
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: UC Dublin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Longford picked up more points recently compared to UC Dublin.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Longford Clean Sheet 12%
UC Dublin Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Longford UC Dublin
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 7 5
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.14 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Division 1
UC Dublin vs Longford
2:0
Mar 7, 2026 Division 1
Longford vs UC Dublin
0:0
Sep 12, 2025 Division 1
UC Dublin vs Longford
2:1
Jun 28, 2025 Division 1
Longford vs UC Dublin
0:2
May 9, 2025 Division 1
UC Dublin vs Longford
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Longford 32 / 100
UC Dublin 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Longford UC Dublin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: UC Dublin or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Longford attacking → ← attacking UC Dublin

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Longford scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

UC Dublin let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Longford went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

UC Dublin lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 44
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 2.25
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Cork City21163242:1151
2UC Dublin21113735:1936
3Bray2187639:3031
4Cobh Ramblers2194825:2931
5Wexford2176825:2927
6Kerry2167821:2525
7Longford2167821:2625
8Athlone2166919:2624
9Finn Harps21471019:3719
10Treaty United21381019:3317