Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Longford vs UC Dublin

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 Bishopsgate, Longford
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Behan C.
40'
Morley T.
46'
Sub
Egan J. In: Omorehiomwan C.
Out: Egan J.

AI Match Summary

Longford in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Longford.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Longford
35%
Draws
30%
UC Dublin
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • UC Dublin average 1.83 goals a game right now, well clear of Longford's 1.59.
  • Win probability leans Longford's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Longford Clean Sheet 12%
UC Dublin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Longford UC Dublin
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.59 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Division 1
Longford vs UC Dublin
2:1
May 1, 2026 Division 1
UC Dublin vs Longford
2:0
Mar 7, 2026 Division 1
Longford vs UC Dublin
0:0
Sep 12, 2025 Division 1
UC Dublin vs Longford
2:1
Jun 28, 2025 Division 1
Longford vs UC Dublin
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Longford Compare

Top Goalscorer Williams D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Murtagh D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

UC Dublin Compare

Top Goalscorer Behan C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Longford 47 / 100
UC Dublin 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Longford UC Dublin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Longford Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Longford found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: UC Dublin conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Longford stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Longford VS UC Dublin
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Longford

(Home)
18 Sept
Finn Harps
0 : 1
Longford
12 Sept
Longford
0 : 2
Treaty United
05 Sept
Longford
0 : 1
Kerry
28 Aug
Cobh Ramblers
2 : 2
Longford
22 Aug
Longford
4 : 2
Bray
Page 1 of 6

UC Dublin

(Away)
18 Sept
Cork City
5 : 1
UC Dublin
11 Sept
UC Dublin
2 : 2
Athlone
04 Sept
Cobh Ramblers
1 : 1
UC Dublin
28 Aug
UC Dublin
5 : 4
Finn Harps
21 Aug
Kerry
1 : 1
UC Dublin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cork City 32 22 5 5 69:30 71
2 Bray 32 14 8 10 61:44 50
3 UC Dublin 32 14 7 11 56:45 49
4 Cobh Ramblers 32 13 6 13 39:46 45
5 Longford 32 12 8 12 42:41 44
6 Athlone 32 12 8 12 36:36 44
7 Kerry 32 11 9 12 39:39 42
8 Wexford 32 11 7 14 37:47 40
9 Treaty United 32 8 9 15 31:47 33
10 Finn Harps 32 6 7 19 29:64 25
Promotion - Premier Division 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Play Offs)