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Longford vs Wexford

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 Bishopsgate
Sat, Jul 25, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Longford host Wexford in the Division 1. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Longford have averaged 1.75 scored and 1.88 conceded recently, against Wexford's 0.75 scored and 1.75 conceded. Past meetings favor Longford slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 8, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 1.31, favoring Longford. Longford in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Longford
33%
Draws
27%
Wexford
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Longford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Wexford have managed 0.75 goals a game lately — Longford are scoring more at 1.75.
  • Model gives Longford a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Longford have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Longford Clean Sheet 18%
Wexford Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Longford Wexford
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.75 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Division 1
Wexford vs Longford
1:2
Mar 21, 2026 Division 1
Longford vs Wexford
2:0
Aug 30, 2025 Division 1
Longford vs Wexford
2:2
Jun 20, 2025 Division 1
Wexford vs Longford
0:1
May 3, 2025 Division 1
Longford vs Wexford
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Longford 40 / 100
Wexford 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Longford Wexford

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Longford scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Wexford conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Longford remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Longford VS Wexford
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cork City23173346:1554
2Bray23107646:3037
3UC Dublin23113936:2736
4Longford2387827:3031
5Cobh Ramblers23941025:3231
6Wexford2377927:3228
7Athlone23761021:2727
8Kerry2368924:2926
9Treaty United23581022:3423
10Finn Harps23571120:3822