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Longridge Town vs Chorley

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Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Whitehouse B.
46' Event
Johnson J.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2023 game between Longridge Town and Chorley finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chorley.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Longridge Town
15%
Draws
85%
Chorley
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chorley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chorley come out ahead of Longridge Town on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Chorley's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Chorley have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Longridge Town Clean Sheet 10%
Chorley Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Longridge Town Chorley
Matches Played 24 31
Wins 2 12
Draws 1 6
Losses 21 13
Goals Scored 0.71 1.26
Goals Conceded 3.04 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 2.21
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 24, 2025 Club Friendly
Longridge Town vs Chorley
1:2
Jul 11, 2023 Club Friendly
Longridge Town vs Chorley
0:2
Jul 13, 2019 Club Friendly
Longridge Town vs Chorley
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Longridge Town Compare

Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Chorley Compare

Top Goalscorer Whitehouse B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Johnson J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.01
Avg xA / game 1.23

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Longridge Town 10 / 100
Chorley 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Longridge Town Chorley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chorley Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Chorley conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Longridge Town scored in 46% of their last 24 outings.

Chorley's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Longridge Town VS Chorley
0.33 Goals Scored 0.75
3.67 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
67% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Longridge Town

(Home)
21 Jul
Longridge Town
0 : 3
AFC Fylde
18 Jul
Longridge Town
0 : 4
Blackburn U18
17 Jul
Longridge Town
1 : 4
Clitheroe
11 Jul
Longridge Town
0 : 4
Bolton U21
07 Jul
Longridge Town
0 : 2
Preston U21
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Chorley

(Away)
26 Sept
Chorley
2 : 1
Spalding United
19 Sept
Warrington Rylands
0 : 1
Chorley
12 Sept
King’s Lynn
2 : 0
Chorley
08 Sept
Chorley
5 : 2
Darlington FC
05 Sept
Oxford City
4 : 0
Chorley
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