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Longridge Town vs Chorley - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Tue, Jun 24, 2025
1 - 2
06:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Brindle N.
90' Event
van Wyk M.
1' Event
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Longridge Town and Chorley finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chorley.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Longridge Town
15%
Draws
85%
Chorley
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chorley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Chorley carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Chorley are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Chorley here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Longridge Town Clean Sheet 10%
Chorley Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Longridge Town Chorley
Matches Played 24 31
Wins 2 12
Draws 1 6
Losses 21 13
Goals Scored 0.71 1.32
Goals Conceded 3.04 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 2.27
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 24, 2025 Club Friendly
Longridge Town vs Chorley
1:2
Jul 11, 2023 Club Friendly
Longridge Town vs Chorley
0:2
Jul 13, 2019 Club Friendly
Longridge Town vs Chorley
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Longridge Town Compare

Top Goalscorer van Wyk M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.4

Chorley Compare

Top Goalscorer Brindle N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.06
Avg xA / game 1.26

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Longridge Town 10 / 100
Chorley 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Longridge Town Chorley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chorley Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chorley has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Longridge Town's goal record stands at 46% scoring rate across 24 recent games.

Away concern: Chorley has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Longridge Town VS Chorley
0.33 Goals Scored 0.88
3.67 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
67% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Longridge Town

(Home)
21 Jul
Longridge Town
0 : 3
AFC Fylde
18 Jul
Longridge Town
0 : 4
Blackburn U18
17 Jul
Longridge Town
1 : 4
Clitheroe
11 Jul
Longridge Town
0 : 4
Bolton U21
07 Jul
Longridge Town
0 : 2
Preston U21
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Chorley

(Away)
03 Oct
Barton Town
1 : 4
Chorley
26 Sept
Chorley
2 : 1
Spalding United
19 Sept
Warrington Rylands
0 : 1
Chorley
12 Sept
King’s Lynn
2 : 0
Chorley
08 Sept
Chorley
5 : 2
Darlington FC
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