Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lorca Deportiva II vs Ad Ceuti Atletico

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 13 2007/2008 Estadio Francisco Artés Carrasco, Lorca
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ad Ceuti Atletico in this Tercera Division - Group 13 2007/2008 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ad Ceuti Atletico.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Lorca Deportiva II
20%
Draws
0%
Ad Ceuti Atletico
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lorca Deportiva II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Lorca Deportiva II have won more games recently than Ad Ceuti Atletico.
  • Lorca Deportiva II are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Lorca Deportiva II Clean Sheet 20%
Ad Ceuti Atletico Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lorca Deportiva II Ad Ceuti Atletico
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 8 4
Draws 11 1
Losses 15 25
Goals Scored 1.26 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.44 2.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Lorca Deportiva II vs Ad Ceuti Atletico
1:2
Sep 16, 2007 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ad Ceuti Atletico vs Lorca Deportiva II
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lorca Deportiva II 85 / 100
Ad Ceuti Atletico 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lorca Deportiva II Ad Ceuti Atletico

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lorca Deportiva II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ad Ceuti Atletico let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Ad Ceuti Atletico lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Lorca Deportiva II found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (34 games).

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Lorca Deportiva II VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lorca Deportiva II

(Home)
16 May
Deportivo Murcia
0 : 0
Lorca Deportiva II
09 May
Lorca Deportiva II
1 : 2
CD Lumbreras
02 May
Moratalla
1 : 1
Lorca Deportiva II
26 Apr
Lorca Deportiva II
1 : 2
Mazarron FC
19 Apr
Plus Ultra
0 : 1
Lorca Deportiva II
Page 1 of 7

Ad Ceuti Atletico

(Away)
18 May
CD Alquerias
2 : 1
Ad Ceuti Atletico
11 May
Ad Ceuti Atletico
0 : 4
Moratalla
03 May
Calasparra FC
4 : 2
Ad Ceuti Atletico
01 May
Agrupacion Deportiva Las Palas
4 : 0
Ad Ceuti Atletico
27 Apr
Ad Ceuti Atletico
0 : 2
Futbol Club Jumilla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad de Lorqu 38 28 9 1 84:29 93
2 Sangonera 38 22 13 3 78:34 79
3 Real Murcia B 38 24 7 7 75:30 79
4 Caravaca 38 22 10 6 93:38 76
5 Pinatar 38 21 12 5 90:38 75
6 Calasparra FC 38 18 11 9 62:45 65
7 Cartagena La Union 38 16 14 8 55:39 62
8 Agrupacion Deportiva Las Palas 38 16 12 10 60:44 60
9 Moratalla 38 17 8 13 56:41 59
10 Ciudad Cieza 38 15 10 13 66:61 55
11 Santomera 38 14 11 13 46:44 53
12 Yeclano 38 14 7 17 62:54 49
13 Muleno CF 38 14 3 21 43:64 45
14 Futbol Club Jumilla 38 10 9 19 45:66 39
15 Lorca Deportiva II 38 11 4 23 39:53 37
16 Ciudad Lorca 38 10 4 24 50:98 34
17 Bala Azul 38 8 9 21 42:71 33
18 Club Olimpico de Totana 38 8 5 25 41:91 29
19 CD Alquerias 38 5 7 26 27:83 22
20 Ad Ceuti Atletico 38 4 1 33 25:116 13
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2007/2008 (Main)