Sport Picks
Lorca Deportiva vs Alcantarilla - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025 Estadio Francisco Artés Carrasco, Lorca 
Match Events
32'
32'
Carrasco A.
61'
61'
Navarro A.
72'
72'
Garcia Alcala Cuenca C.
AI Match Summary
Lorca Deportiva in this Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lorca Deportiva.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
35%
42%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Alcantarilla
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Lorca Deportiva lately — more wins on the board than Alcantarilla.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Lorca Deportiva Clean Sheet 20%
Alcantarilla Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lorca Deportiva | Alcantarilla |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 14 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.84 | 0.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.06 | 1.62 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.42 | 0.98 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 27, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Lorca Deportiva vs Alcantarilla
3:0
Dec 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Alcantarilla vs Lorca Deportiva
1:3
May 12, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Lorca Deportiva vs Alcantarilla
1:1
Jan 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Alcantarilla vs Lorca Deportiva
1:1
Jan 7, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Alcantarilla vs Lorca Deportiva
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lorca Deportiva Compare
Top Goalscorer Carrasco A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Navarro A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.32
Avg xA / game 0.21
Alcantarilla Compare
Avg xG / game 0.89
Avg xA / game 0.54
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lorca Deportiva 32 / 100
Alcantarilla 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lorca Deportiva Alcantarilla
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Alcantarilla Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Alcantarilla's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Lorca Deportiva went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Lorca Deportiva's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Lorca Deportiva VS Alcantarilla
0.5 Goals Scored 0.83
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.33
38% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Lorca Deportiva
(Home) 03 Oct
Castellon B
2 : 1 Lorca Deportiva
27 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 0 Castellonense
20 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
0 : 0 CF Intercity
13 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 0 Lorca Deportiva
06 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 1 Ilicitano
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 0 Castellonense
20 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
0 : 0 CF Intercity
06 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 1 Ilicitano
12 Aug
Lorca Deportiva
0 : 1 Murcia
06 Aug
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 0 Aguilas FC
Page 1 of 4
Alcantarilla
(Away) 04 Oct
Alcantarilla
1 : 1 Santa Cruz
27 Sept
Bala Azul
0 : 1 Alcantarilla
20 Sept
Alcantarilla
2 : 0 Cotillas CD
12 Sept
Alcantarilla
0 : 0 CA Pulpileno
06 Sept
Aguilas FC B
1 : 1 Alcantarilla
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Bala Azul
0 : 1 Alcantarilla
06 Sept
Aguilas FC B
1 : 1 Alcantarilla
11 May
CA Pulpileno
4 : 0 Alcantarilla
27 Apr
Lorca Deportiva
3 : 0 Alcantarilla
13 Apr
UCAM Murcia B
0 : 0 Alcantarilla
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lorca Deportiva | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 62:22 | 78 |
| 2 | Ciudad Cieza | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 73:26 | 70 |
| 3 | Molinense | 34 | 18 | 13 | 3 | 54:24 | 67 |
| 4 | Santomera | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 66:42 | 62 |
| 5 | Aguilas FC B | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 52:23 | 62 |
| 6 | CA Pulpileno | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 35:23 | 55 |
| 7 | UCAM Murcia B | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45:35 | 51 |
| 8 | Real Murcia B | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 44:31 | 49 |
| 9 | E.G. El Palmar | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 48:45 | 46 |
| 10 | Bala Azul | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 34:27 | 44 |
| 11 | Caravaca | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35:41 | 43 |
| 12 | Deportivo Maritimo | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 38:57 | 37 |
| 13 | Muleno CF | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 29:49 | 37 |
| 14 | FC Cartagena SAD B | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 27:43 | 36 |
| 15 | Minerva | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 33:45 | 34 |
| 16 | Bullense | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 29:58 | 30 |
| 17 | Alcantarilla | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 21:65 | 28 |
| 18 | Plus Ultra | 34 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 23:92 | 9 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
