Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lorca Deportiva vs Antoniano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 Estadio Francisco Artés Carrasco, Lorca
Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Garcia D.

AI Match Summary

Lorca Deportiva in this Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lorca Deportiva.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Lorca Deportiva
35%
Draws
19%
Antoniano
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lorca Deportiva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Lorca Deportiva haven't matched Antoniano's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Lorca Deportiva's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Lorca Deportiva Clean Sheet 68%
Antoniano Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lorca Deportiva Antoniano
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 9
Draws 8 8
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.69 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Lorca Deportiva vs Antoniano
1:0
Dec 7, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Antoniano vs Lorca Deportiva
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lorca Deportiva Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Antoniano Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lorca Deportiva 68 / 100
Antoniano 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lorca Deportiva Antoniano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lorca Deportiva Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Antoniano conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Lorca Deportiva remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Antoniano lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lorca Deportiva VS Antoniano
0.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
13% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lorca Deportiva

(Home)
03 Oct
Castellon B
2 : 1
Lorca Deportiva
27 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 0
Castellonense
20 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
0 : 0
CF Intercity
13 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 0
Lorca Deportiva
06 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 1
Ilicitano
Page 1 of 6

Antoniano

(Away)
04 Oct
Tamaraceite
1 : 0
Antoniano
27 Sept
Antoniano
0 : 3
Ciudad de Lucena
20 Sept
Antoniano
1 : 1
Mijas Las Lagunas
13 Sept
Betis B
0 : 0
Antoniano
06 Sept
Antoniano
1 : 2
Don Benito
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Extremadura 34 17 12 5 54:38 63
2 Deportiva Minera 34 19 6 9 50:33 63
3 Aguilas FC 34 18 7 9 45:25 61
4 Xerez CD 34 17 8 9 32:24 59
5 Jaen 34 16 10 8 43:33 58
6 Recreativo Huelva 34 16 9 9 41:25 57
7 UCAM Murcia 34 16 7 11 49:41 55
8 Linares 34 11 14 9 42:45 47
9 La Union (Malacitano) 34 13 6 15 44:43 45
10 Lorca Deportiva 34 12 9 13 32:36 45
11 Yeclano 34 12 8 14 33:33 44
12 Antoniano 34 12 8 14 38:40 44
13 CD Estepona 34 12 8 14 40:44 44
14 Puente Genil 34 10 10 14 28:37 40
15 Xerez Deportivo FC 34 8 12 14 34:43 36
16 Melilla 34 7 13 14 36:40 34
17 Almeria B 34 4 9 21 26:53 21
18 Malaga B 34 5 6 23 32:66 21
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)