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Stadium Background

Lorca Deportiva vs CD Estepona

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 Estadio Francisco Artés Carrasco, Lorca
Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Exposito S.
82' Event
Herrero A.
90'
Escobar Hernandez J.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 game between Lorca Deportiva and CD Estepona finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Estepona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Lorca Deportiva
30%
Draws
41%
CD Estepona
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CD Estepona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Lorca Deportiva haven't matched CD Estepona's recent run of results.
  • Lorca Deportiva are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Lorca Deportiva Clean Sheet 18%
CD Estepona Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lorca Deportiva CD Estepona
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 8 9
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.72 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Lorca Deportiva vs CD Estepona
0:2
Nov 2, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
CD Estepona vs Lorca Deportiva
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lorca Deportiva Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

CD Estepona Compare

Top Goalscorer Exposito S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Herrero A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lorca Deportiva 36 / 100
CD Estepona 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lorca Deportiva CD Estepona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Estepona's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Lorca Deportiva has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Lorca Deportiva's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Lorca Deportiva VS CD Estepona
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lorca Deportiva

(Home)
27 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 0
Castellonense
20 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
0 : 0
CF Intercity
13 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 0
Lorca Deportiva
06 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 1
Ilicitano
15 Aug
Aguilas FC
1 : 0
Lorca Deportiva
Page 1 of 6

CD Estepona

(Away)
27 Sept
Tenerife B
2 : 1
CD Estepona
19 Sept
Puente Genil
0 : 2
CD Estepona
12 Sept
CD Estepona
1 : 4
Linares
05 Sept
CD Estepona
0 : 0
Xerez CD
16 May
CD Estepona
3 : 1
Real Madrid C
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Extremadura 34 17 12 5 54:38 63
2 Deportiva Minera 34 19 6 9 50:33 63
3 Aguilas FC 34 18 7 9 45:25 61
4 Xerez CD 34 17 8 9 32:24 59
5 Jaen 34 16 10 8 43:33 58
6 Recreativo Huelva 34 16 9 9 41:25 57
7 UCAM Murcia 34 16 7 11 49:41 55
8 Linares 34 11 14 9 42:45 47
9 La Union (Malacitano) 34 13 6 15 44:43 45
10 Lorca Deportiva 34 12 9 13 32:36 45
11 Yeclano 34 12 8 14 33:33 44
12 Antoniano 34 12 8 14 38:40 44
13 CD Estepona 34 12 8 14 40:44 44
14 Puente Genil 34 10 10 14 28:37 40
15 Xerez Deportivo FC 34 8 12 14 34:43 36
16 Melilla 34 7 13 14 36:40 34
17 Almeria B 34 4 9 21 26:53 21
18 Malaga B 34 5 6 23 32:66 21
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)