Sport Picks
Lorca Deportiva vs Xerez CD - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 Estadio Francisco Artés Carrasco, Lorca 
Match Events
52'
52'
Chacartegui F.
AI Match Summary
The Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 game between Lorca Deportiva and Xerez CD finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Xerez CD.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Xerez CD come out ahead of Lorca Deportiva on wins alone.
- Model gives Lorca Deportiva a 42% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Lorca Deportiva Clean Sheet 68%
Xerez CD Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lorca Deportiva | Xerez CD |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 12 |
| Draws | 8 | 11 |
| Losses | 14 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.69 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 0.62 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.44 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 12, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Lorca Deportiva vs Xerez CD
0:1
Nov 16, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Xerez CD vs Lorca Deportiva
0:1
Mar 4, 2007 LaLiga2
Xerez CD vs Lorca Deportiva
1:0
Oct 1, 2006 LaLiga2
Lorca Deportiva vs Xerez CD
2:1
Apr 16, 2006 LaLiga2
Lorca Deportiva vs Xerez CD
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lorca Deportiva Compare
Avg xG / game 0.34
Avg xA / game 0.22
Xerez CD Compare
Top Goalscorer Chacartegui F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lorca Deportiva 51 / 100
Xerez CD 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lorca Deportiva Xerez CD
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.
Lorca Deportiva went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Lorca Deportiva's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Xerez CD let in goals in 48% of their last 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Lorca Deportiva VS Xerez CD
0.5 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
25% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Lorca Deportiva
(Home) 03 Oct
Castellon B
2 : 1 Lorca Deportiva
27 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 0 Castellonense
20 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
0 : 0 CF Intercity
13 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 0 Lorca Deportiva
06 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 1 Ilicitano
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 0 Castellonense
20 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
0 : 0 CF Intercity
06 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 1 Ilicitano
12 Aug
Lorca Deportiva
0 : 1 Murcia
06 Aug
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 0 Aguilas FC
Page 1 of 3
Xerez CD
(Away) 04 Oct
Xerez CD
2 : 1 Tenerife B
27 Sept
Recreativo Huelva
1 : 0 Xerez CD
20 Sept
Xerez CD
0 : 0 Don Benito
13 Sept
Xerez CD
1 : 2 CD Badajoz
05 Sept
CD Estepona
0 : 0 Xerez CD
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Recreativo Huelva
1 : 0 Xerez CD
05 Sept
CD Estepona
0 : 0 Xerez CD
29 Aug
Sanluqueno
1 : 1 Xerez CD
14 Aug
Portuense
0 : 0 Xerez CD
07 Aug
Chiclana
0 : 1 Xerez CD
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Extremadura | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 54:38 | 63 |
| 2 | Deportiva Minera | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 50:33 | 63 |
| 3 | Aguilas FC | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 45:25 | 61 |
| 4 | Xerez CD | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 32:24 | 59 |
| 5 | Jaen | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 43:33 | 58 |
| 6 | Recreativo Huelva | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 41:25 | 57 |
| 7 | UCAM Murcia | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 49:41 | 55 |
| 8 | Linares | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 42:45 | 47 |
| 9 | La Union (Malacitano) | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 44:43 | 45 |
| 10 | Lorca Deportiva | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 32:36 | 45 |
| 11 | Yeclano | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 33:33 | 44 |
| 12 | Antoniano | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 38:40 | 44 |
| 13 | CD Estepona | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 40:44 | 44 |
| 14 | Puente Genil | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 28:37 | 40 |
| 15 | Xerez Deportivo FC | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 34:43 | 36 |
| 16 | Melilla | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 36:40 | 34 |
| 17 | Almeria B | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 26:53 | 21 |
| 18 | Malaga B | 34 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 32:66 | 21 |
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)
