Sport Picks
Lorca Deportiva vs Yeclano
Spain
Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 Estadio Francisco Artés Carrasco, Lorca 
Match Events
35'
35'
Melli P.
Own Goal
43'
43'
Dominguez J.
55'
55'
Carrasco A.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
13%
35%
52%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Yeclano
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Yeclano have won more games recently than Lorca Deportiva.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Lorca Deportiva Clean Sheet 22%
Yeclano Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lorca Deportiva | Yeclano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.72 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Lorca Deportiva vs Yeclano
2:2
Sep 28, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Yeclano vs Lorca Deportiva
0:0
Jan 30, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Lorca Deportiva vs Yeclano
2:1
Sep 26, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Yeclano vs Lorca Deportiva
3:0
Mar 3, 2021 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Yeclano vs Lorca Deportiva
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lorca Deportiva Compare
Top Goalscorer Carrasco A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32
Yeclano Compare
Top Goalscorer Dominguez J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lorca Deportiva 32 / 100
Yeclano 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lorca Deportiva Yeclano
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Yeclano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Yeclano let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Lorca Deportiva's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Lorca Deportiva went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Lorca Deportiva VS Yeclano
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Lorca Deportiva
(Home) 20 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
0 : 0 CF Intercity
13 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 0 Lorca Deportiva
06 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 1 Ilicitano
15 Aug
Aguilas FC
1 : 0 Lorca Deportiva
12 Aug
Lorca Deportiva
0 : 1 Murcia
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
0 : 0 CF Intercity
06 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 1 Ilicitano
12 Aug
Lorca Deportiva
0 : 1 Murcia
06 Aug
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 0 Aguilas FC
26 Apr
Lorca Deportiva
2 : 2 Yeclano
Page 1 of 4
Yeclano
(Away) 20 Sept
Yeclano
0 : 1 La Nucia
13 Sept
Pena Deportiva
1 : 1 Yeclano
06 Sept
Yeclano
1 : 0 Baleares
15 Aug
Villarrobledo
0 : 1 Yeclano
08 Aug
Yeclano
0 : 0 FC Cartagena SAD
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Pena Deportiva
1 : 1 Yeclano
15 Aug
Villarrobledo
0 : 1 Yeclano
26 Apr
Lorca Deportiva
2 : 2 Yeclano
12 Apr
Antoniano
1 : 1 Yeclano
28 Mar
Puente Genil
0 : 1 Yeclano
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Extremadura | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 54:38 | 63 |
| 2 | Deportiva Minera | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 50:33 | 63 |
| 3 | Aguilas FC | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 45:25 | 61 |
| 4 | Xerez CD | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 32:24 | 59 |
| 5 | Jaen | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 43:33 | 58 |
| 6 | Recreativo Huelva | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 41:25 | 57 |
| 7 | UCAM Murcia | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 49:41 | 55 |
| 8 | Linares | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 42:45 | 47 |
| 9 | La Union (Malacitano) | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 44:43 | 45 |
| 10 | Lorca Deportiva | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 32:36 | 45 |
| 11 | Yeclano | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 33:33 | 44 |
| 12 | Antoniano | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 38:40 | 44 |
| 13 | CD Estepona | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 40:44 | 44 |
| 14 | Puente Genil | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 28:37 | 40 |
| 15 | Xerez Deportivo FC | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 34:43 | 36 |
| 16 | Melilla | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 36:40 | 34 |
| 17 | Almeria B | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 26:53 | 21 |
| 18 | Malaga B | 34 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 32:66 | 21 |
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)
