Sport Picks
Lorca Deportiva vs Yeclano
Spain
Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 Estadio Francisco Artés Carrasco, Lorca 
Match Events
35'
35'
Melli P.
Own Goal
43'
43'
Dominguez J.
55'
55'
Carrasco A.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
39%
30%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Lorca Deportiva have won more games recently than Yeclano.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Lorca Deportiva Clean Sheet 20%
Yeclano Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lorca Deportiva | Yeclano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.63 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Lorca Deportiva vs Yeclano
2:2
Sep 28, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Yeclano vs Lorca Deportiva
0:0
Jan 30, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Lorca Deportiva vs Yeclano
2:1
Sep 26, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Yeclano vs Lorca Deportiva
3:0
Mar 3, 2021 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Yeclano vs Lorca Deportiva
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lorca Deportiva Compare
Top Goalscorer Carrasco A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32
Yeclano Compare
Top Goalscorer Dominguez J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lorca Deportiva 32 / 100
Yeclano 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lorca Deportiva Yeclano
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick YEC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lorca Deportiva scored in 63% of their last 30 games.
Yeclano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Lorca Deportiva went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Lorca Deportiva VS Yeclano
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Lorca Deportiva
(Home) 03 May
Deportiva Minera
1 : 0 Lorca Deportiva
26 Apr
Lorca Deportiva
2 : 2 Yeclano
19 Apr
Aguilas FC
2 : 0 Lorca Deportiva
12 Apr
Lorca Deportiva
0 : 1 Xerez CD
05 Apr
Almeria B
1 : 1 Lorca Deportiva
Page 1 of 6
26 Apr
Lorca Deportiva
2 : 2 Yeclano
12 Apr
Lorca Deportiva
0 : 1 Xerez CD
28 Mar
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 1 Linares
15 Mar
Lorca Deportiva
0 : 2 CD Estepona
08 Mar
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 0 Xerez Deportivo FC
Page 1 of 4
Yeclano
(Away) 03 May
Yeclano
1 : 1 CD Estepona
26 Apr
Lorca Deportiva
2 : 2 Yeclano
19 Apr
Yeclano
1 : 1 Almeria B
12 Apr
Antoniano
1 : 1 Yeclano
04 Apr
Yeclano
2 : 3 CD Extremadura
Page 1 of 6
26 Apr
Lorca Deportiva
2 : 2 Yeclano
12 Apr
Antoniano
1 : 1 Yeclano
28 Mar
Puente Genil
0 : 1 Yeclano
15 Mar
Jaen
1 : 0 Yeclano
01 Mar
Xerez CD
1 : 0 Yeclano
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Extremadura | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 54:38 | 63 |
| 2 | Deportiva Minera | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 50:33 | 63 |
| 3 | Aguilas FC | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 45:25 | 61 |
| 4 | Xerez CD | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 32:24 | 59 |
| 5 | Jaen | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 43:33 | 58 |
| 6 | Recreativo Huelva | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 41:25 | 57 |
| 7 | UCAM Murcia | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 49:41 | 55 |
| 8 | Linares | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 42:45 | 47 |
| 9 | La Union (Malacitano) | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 44:43 | 45 |
| 10 | Lorca Deportiva | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 32:36 | 45 |
| 11 | Yeclano | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 33:33 | 44 |
| 12 | Antoniano | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 38:40 | 44 |
| 13 | CD Estepona | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 40:44 | 44 |
| 14 | Puente Genil | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 28:37 | 40 |
| 15 | Xerez Deportivo FC | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 34:43 | 36 |
| 16 | Melilla | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 36:40 | 34 |
| 17 | Almeria B | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 26:53 | 21 |
| 18 | Malaga B | 34 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 32:66 | 21 |
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)
