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Lorenskog vs Kjelsas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 2 - Group 2 Rolvsrud stadion, Lorenskog
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lorenskog host Kjelsas in the Division 2 - Group 2. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Lorenskog have averaged 1.57 scored and 1.7 conceded recently, against Kjelsas's 2.48 scored and 1.42 conceded. Head-to-head, Lorenskog have won 1 to Kjelsas's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 4:1. xG projections (1.19 - 2.63) back Kjelsas to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Lorenskog
20%
Draws
40%
Kjelsas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Lorenskog haven't matched Kjelsas's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Lorenskog a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 2 - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Kjelsas here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Lorenskog Clean Sheet 10%
Kjelsas Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lorenskog Kjelsas
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 14 23
Draws 4 2
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.57 2.48
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Division 2 - Group 2
Kjelsas vs Lorenskog
4:1
Feb 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Lorenskog vs Kjelsas
1:2
Oct 11, 2014 Division 2 - Group 4
Lorenskog vs Kjelsas
0:3
Jun 28, 2014 Division 2 - Group 4
Kjelsas vs Lorenskog
4:0
Oct 9, 2005 Division 2 - Group 2
Lorenskog vs Kjelsas
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lorenskog 40 / 100
Kjelsas 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lorenskog Kjelsas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Lorenskog scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Kjelsas conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Lorenskog stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lorenskog VS Kjelsas
0.88 Goals Scored 2.38
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Lorenskog

(Home)
03 Oct
Grorud
4 : 0
Lorenskog
27 Sept
Lorenskog
4 : 1
Skeid
20 Sept
Stjordals Blink
2 : 0
Lorenskog
13 Sept
Rana FK
0 : 1
Lorenskog
06 Sept
Lorenskog
1 : 1
Junkeren
Page 1 of 6

Kjelsas

(Away)
03 Oct
Ull/Kisa
1 : 2
Kjelsas
26 Sept
Kjelsas
2 : 2
Follo
20 Sept
Grorud
3 : 2
Kjelsas
16 Sept
Kjelsas
0 : 2
Ham-Kam
13 Sept
Kjelsas
5 : 0
Stjordals Blink
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eidsvold TF 22 16 3 3 53:19 51
2 Kjelsas 22 15 2 5 51:32 47
3 Levanger 22 15 0 7 53:27 45
4 Honefoss 22 14 3 5 56:33 45
5 Grorud 22 13 4 5 40:20 43
6 Stjordals Blink 22 10 3 9 38:38 33
7 Lorenskog 22 10 3 9 33:37 33
8 Tromsdalen (TUIL) 22 10 2 10 39:38 32
9 Junkeren 22 9 4 9 31:36 31
10 Rana FK 22 9 3 10 38:39 30
11 Skeid 22 6 2 14 32:50 20
12 Follo 22 3 5 14 25:46 14
13 Ull/Kisa 22 3 1 18 26:72 10
14 Trygg/Lade 22 2 3 17 25:53 9
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