Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lorenskog vs Moss

Norway Norway

NM Cup Rolvsrud stadion, Lorenskog
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Ogbole J.
49' Event
Sorensen K.
Assist: Hermanstad R.
74' Event
Hermanstad R.
Assist: Kvale W.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-3. The second leg ended 0-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Lorenskog
20%
Draws
80%
Moss
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Moss

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lorenskog come out ahead of Moss on wins alone.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Moss taking it.
  • Lorenskog have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Moss, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
  • Moss have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Lorenskog Clean Sheet 10%
Moss Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lorenskog Moss
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 6
Draws 4 6
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.75 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 NM Cup
Lorenskog vs Moss
0:3
Oct 11, 2015 Division 2 - Group 2
Lorenskog vs Moss
3:1
Jun 27, 2015 Division 2 - Group 2
Moss vs Lorenskog
5:0
Aug 9, 2014 Division 2 - Group 4
Lorenskog vs Moss
2:4
Apr 27, 2014 Division 2 - Group 4
Moss vs Lorenskog
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lorenskog Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Moss Compare

Top Goalscorer Ogbole J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sorensen K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lorenskog 10 / 100
Moss 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lorenskog Moss

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Moss Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lorenskog scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Moss has conceded goals in 93% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Moss lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lorenskog VS Moss
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
2.75 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lorenskog

(Home)
30 Aug
Levanger
5 : 0
Lorenskog
22 Aug
Lorenskog
0 : 3
Moss
15 Aug
Lorenskog
1 : 7
Eidsvold TF
09 Aug
Tromsdalen (TUIL)
2 : 0
Lorenskog
01 Aug
Lorenskog
1 : 3
Honefoss
Page 1 of 6

Moss

(Away)
30 Aug
Moss
1 : 2
Strommen
26 Aug
Moss
2 : 2
Sogndal
22 Aug
Lorenskog
0 : 3
Moss
15 Aug
Bryne
2 : 1
Moss
10 Aug
Moss
3 : 3
Odds BK
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Bossekop 1
Alta 2
Ulfstind 0
Tromso 5
Floya 5
Junkeren 3
Fauske Sprint 0
Bodo/Glimt 5
Harstad 0
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 1
Stalkam 2
Rana FK 3
Nationalkameratene 0
Rosenborg 9
Tynset 0
Trygg/Lade 3
Steinkjer 0
Ranheim 6
Strindheim 0
Levanger 8
Melhus 0
Stjordals Blink 3
Tronder-Lyn 0
Kristiansund 5
Midsund 0
Molde 11
Spjelkavik 1
Hodd 2
Volda 2
Brattvag 6
Rollon 0
Traeff 7
Langevag 0
Aalesund 13
Fjora 0
Sogndal 8
Floro 2
Forde 4
Fyllingen 0
Brann 4
Arna-Bjornar 0
Asane 1
Askoy 1
Sandviken 2
OS TF 2
Lysekloster 0
Fana 1
Bjarg 3
Froya 0
Sotra 6
V. Haugesund 3
Haugesund 4
Nord 0
Djerv 1919 4
Brodd -
Viking -
Rosseland 0
Bryne 3
Varhaug 2
Sandnes Ulf 3
Madla IL 3
Vidar 2
Vag 2
Egersund 5
Vindbjart 2
Flekkeroy 1
Froland 1
Arendal 5
Flekkefjord 1
Start 2
Eidanger 0
Sandefjord 15
Uradd 0
Pors 3
Fram 1
Jerv 2
Teie 0
Odds BK 10
Flint 2
Orn 0
Eik-Tonsberg 1
Honefoss 4
Modum 0
Stromsgodset 6
Assiden 0
Notodden 4
Skreia 2
Kongsvinger 14
Trysil 0
Ham-Kam 5
Ridabu 0
Raufoss 4
Gjovik-Lyn 2
Eidsvold TF 7
Lillehammer 2
Strommen 4
Elverum 7
Ull/Kisa 6
Aurskog/Finstadbru -
Lillestrom -
Eidsvold IF 1
Fredrikstad 7
Lorenskog 0
Moss 3
Christiania BK 2
Valerenga 7
Grei 0
Lyn 4
Ready 0
KFUM Oslo 4
Heming 0
Stabaek 2
Lokomotiv Oslo 1
Grorud 5
Frigg 0
Kjelsas 4
Asker 7
Kvik Halden 0
Baerum 4
Mjondalen 0
Nordstrand 1
Skeid 4
Sparta Sarpsborg 0
Sarpsborg 08 2
Gamle Oslo 6
Drobak-Frogn 1
Rade 1
Follo 2
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Final
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