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Stadium Background

Lorient II vs Avranches

France France

National 2 - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Dicko A.
40' Event
Herbin K.
45' Event
Borval C.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 game between Lorient II and Avranches finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Avranches.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Lorient II
22%
Draws
18%
Avranches
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Lorient II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Avranches have managed 1.5 goals a game lately — Lorient II are scoring more at 1.63.
  • Win probability leans Lorient II's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Avranches have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Lorient II Clean Sheet 68%
Avranches Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lorient II Avranches
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 5 10
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Lorient II vs Avranches
2:4
Nov 8, 2025 National 1 - Group A
Avranches vs Lorient II
1:2
Apr 20, 2013 National 2 - Group D
Lorient II vs Avranches
0:2
Nov 30, 2012 National 2 - Group D
Avranches vs Lorient II
4:0
Feb 18, 2012 National 2 - Group D
Avranches vs Lorient II
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lorient II Compare

Top Goalscorer Kone M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mouledous A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Avranches Compare

Top Goalscorer Herbin K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Dicko A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lorient II 68 / 100
Avranches 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lorient II Avranches

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Avranches has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Lorient II found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Lorient II stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lorient II VS Avranches
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lorient II

(Home)
16 May
Lorient II
1 : 1
Stade Poitevin
09 May
Angouleme CFC
3 : 2
Lorient II
02 May
Lorient II
3 : 0
Saint-Malo
25 Apr
Saumur Olympique
2 : 2
Lorient II
18 Apr
Lorient II
0 : 2
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
Page 1 of 6

Avranches

(Away)
25 Jul
Quevilly
1 : 1
Avranches
22 Jul
Laval
2 : 1
Avranches
16 May
Avranches
3 : 3
Bordeaux
09 May
Granville
1 : 1
Avranches
02 May
Les Herbiers
3 : 3
Avranches
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1La Roche Vendee30198361:2765
2Bordeaux30195651:2862
3Bayonne30174942:2755
4Saint-Malo301311643:2950
5Les Herbiers30147945:3349
6Angouleme CFC301110933:3643
7Dinan301251344:4541
8Avranches3010101046:4140
9Chauray301151435:3838
10St. Colomban Locmine309101131:3437
11Montlouis307101342:5031
12Lorient II30951638:5131
13Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant30861625:4730
14Granville306111332:4129
15Saumur Olympique306101437:5628
16Stade Poitevin305111421:4325
Promotion - Ligue 3 (Main)