Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lorient II vs Granville

France France

National 2 - Group A
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lorient II play Granville in the National 2 - Group A. It looks like a close match. Recently, Lorient II averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Granville averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. In past meetings, Lorient II won 2, Granville won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 21, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Lorient II and 1.50 for Granville. This points to a Lorient II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Lorient II
24%
Draws
36%
Granville
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Lorient II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Lorient II picked up more points recently compared to Granville.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%
Lorient II Clean Sheet 16%
Granville Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lorient II Granville
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 5 10
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.27 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 National 2 - Group A
Lorient II vs Granville
1:1
Sep 13, 2025 National 2 - Group A
Granville vs Lorient II
1:2
Apr 20, 2024 National 2 - Group C
Lorient II vs Granville
3:2
Dec 2, 2023 National 2 - Group C
Granville vs Lorient II
2:1
Apr 29, 2022 National 2 - Group A
Lorient II vs Granville
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lorient II Compare

Top Goalscorer Kone M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Granville Compare

Top Goalscorer Cherchour M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lorient II 39 / 100
Granville 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lorient II Granville

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Lorient II or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Lorient II attacking → ← attacking Granville

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lorient II scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Granville let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Lorient II went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Granville lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 28
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1La Roche Vendee30198361:2765
2Bordeaux30195651:2862
3Bayonne30174942:2755
4Saint-Malo301311643:2950
5Les Herbiers30147945:3349
6Angouleme CFC301110933:3643
7Dinan301251344:4541
8Avranches3010101046:4140
9Chauray301151435:3838
10St. Colomban Locmine309101131:3437
11Montlouis307101342:5031
12Lorient II30951638:5131
13Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant30861625:4730
14Granville306111332:4129
15Saumur Olympique306101437:5628
16Stade Poitevin305111421:4325