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Lorient II vs Le Mans II

France France

CFA - Group D 2012/2013
Lorient II Logo

Lorient II

2 - 2
FT
Le Mans II Logo

Le Mans II

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The CFA - Group D 2012/2013 game between Lorient II and Le Mans II finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Lorient II
20%
Draws
29%
Le Mans II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lorient II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Lorient II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Lorient II taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Lorient II Clean Sheet 17%
Le Mans II Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lorient II Le Mans II
Matches Played 36 31
Wins 13 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.53 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2013 National 2 - Group D
Lorient II vs Le Mans II
2:2
Aug 18, 2012 National 2 - Group D
Le Mans II vs Lorient II
1:3
Mar 25, 2012 National 2 - Group D
Lorient II vs Le Mans II
3:2
Oct 9, 2011 National 2 - Group D
Le Mans II vs Lorient II
1:1
May 14, 2011 National 2 - Group D
Lorient II vs Le Mans II
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lorient II 84 / 100
Le Mans II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lorient II Le Mans II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lorient II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lorient II scored in 72% of their last 36 games.

Le Mans II has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Lorient II stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lorient II VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lorient II

(Home)
12 Sept
Pontivy
0 : 3
Lorient II
05 Sept
Lorient II
0 : 1
Bayonne
29 Aug
Tarbes
1 : 0
Lorient II
22 Aug
Lorient II
3 : 1
Chauray
16 May
Lorient II
1 : 1
Stade Poitevin
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Le Mans II

(Away)
16 Aug
Tours
4 : 0
Le Mans II
25 May
Trelissac
0 : 0
Le Mans II
18 May
Le Mans II
0 : 2
Concarneau
11 May
Viry-Chatillon
0 : 1
Le Mans II
04 May
Le Mans II
0 : 3
Lucon
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lucon 34 19 6 9 68:45 97
2 Trelissac 34 18 7 9 58:39 93
3 Les Herbiers 34 16 9 9 51:30 91
4 Saint-Malo 34 13 15 6 50:31 88
5 Romorantin 34 14 10 10 38:32 86
6 Bordeaux II 34 15 7 12 51:44 86
7 Avranches 34 14 9 11 50:35 85
8 Pontivy 34 14 8 12 40:36 84
9 Concarneau 34 13 10 11 44:44 83
10 Fontenay 34 11 13 10 39:39 80
11 Le Mans II 34 13 5 16 44:53 78
12 Plabennec 34 10 12 12 37:46 76
13 Stade Bordelais 34 11 9 14 49:53 76
14 Viry-Chatillon 34 12 9 13 38:48 76
15 Caen II 34 11 8 15 45:51 75
16 Lorient II 34 10 7 17 40:57 71
17 Le Havre II 34 8 10 16 31:47 66
18 Saumur Olympique 34 5 4 25 33:76 53
Promotion - National 2013/2014 (Main)