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Lorient II vs Saumur Olympique - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

National 1 - Group B
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lorient II host Saumur Olympique in the National 1 - Group B. This one's hard to separate. Saumur Olympique have shipped 1.83 goals a game lately, while Lorient II have conceded 1.53 and scored 1.33. Past meetings favor Lorient II slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 0.88, favoring Lorient II. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Lorient II
15%
Draws
20%
Saumur Olympique
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lorient II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lorient II lately — more wins on the board than Saumur Olympique.
  • Lorient II are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Lorient II Clean Sheet 20%
Saumur Olympique Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lorient II Saumur Olympique
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 5 11
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.33 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Saumur Olympique vs Lorient II
2:2
Dec 13, 2025 National 1 - Group A
Lorient II vs Saumur Olympique
2:2
Feb 4, 2023 National 2 - Group D
Saumur Olympique vs Lorient II
0:3
Sep 3, 2022 National 2 - Group D
Lorient II vs Saumur Olympique
1:1
Apr 13, 2013 National 2 - Group D
Saumur Olympique vs Lorient II
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lorient II 85 / 100
Saumur Olympique 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lorient II Saumur Olympique

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lorient II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saumur Olympique let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Lorient II's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Lorient II has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lorient II VS Saumur Olympique
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lorient II

(Home)
31 Oct
Granville
0 : 0
Lorient II
17 Oct
Lorient II
3 : 1
Saint-Malo
02 Oct
Stade Briochin
1 : 3
Lorient II
19 Sept
Lorient II
1 : 2
Le Poire Sur Vie
12 Sept
Pontivy
0 : 3
Lorient II
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Saumur Olympique

(Away)
31 Oct
Saumur Olympique
0 : 1
St. Colomban Locmine
17 Oct
Saumur Olympique
2 : 1
Granville
03 Oct
Saint-Malo
2 : 1
Saumur Olympique
19 Sept
Saumur Olympique
1 : 4
Stade Briochin
12 Sept
Le Poire Sur Vie
2 : 0
Saumur Olympique
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Angouleme CFC 8 6 2 0 13:5 20
2 Avranches 8 5 2 1 13:3 17
3 Bayonne 8 5 1 2 11:8 16
4 Lorient II 8 4 1 3 13:7 13
5 Granville 8 3 3 2 10:10 12
6 Dinan 8 3 3 2 7:7 12
7 Tarbes 8 3 3 2 5:5 12
8 Saint-Malo 8 3 3 2 10:7 12
9 St. Colomban Locmine 8 3 2 3 7:6 11
10 Stade Briochin 8 2 4 2 9:8 10
11 Le Poire Sur Vie 8 3 1 4 10:11 10
12 Les Herbiers 8 2 3 3 6:8 9
13 Saumur Olympique 8 2 1 5 6:12 7
14 Pontivy 8 0 5 3 7:12 5
15 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 8 0 5 3 5:12 5
16 Chauray 8 0 1 7 5:16 1
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)