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Lorient vs Brest - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 1 Stade du Moustoir, Lorient
Our Tip

Match Events

41'
Balde M.
58'
Toure I.
66'
Sub
Faye S. In: Bernardeau G.
Out: Faye S.

AI Match Summary

Brest in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Brest.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Lorient
30%
Draws
37%
Brest
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Brest

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Lorient have won more games recently than Brest.
  • Model gives Brest a 37% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Lorient Clean Sheet 18%
Brest Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lorient Brest
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 7
Draws 8 11
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2026 Ligue 1
Lorient vs Brest
0:2
Feb 7, 2026 Ligue 1
Brest vs Lorient
2:0
Oct 19, 2025 Ligue 1
Lorient vs Brest
3:3
Jul 20, 2024 Club Friendly
Lorient vs Brest
1:1
Mar 31, 2024 Ligue 1
Lorient vs Brest
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lorient Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Brest Compare

Top Goalscorer Ajorque L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Edjouma N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lorient 23 / 100
Brest 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lorient Brest

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brest Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brest has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Lorient's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Lorient has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lorient VS Brest
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lorient

(Home)
02 Nov
Lorient
0 : 2
Brest
25 Oct
Angers
0 : 0
Lorient
18 Oct
Lorient
1 : 0
Monaco
10 Oct
Lorient
1 : 0
Paris FC
19 Sept
Le Mans
2 : 1
Lorient
Page 1 of 6

Brest

(Away)
02 Nov
Lorient
0 : 2
Brest
23 Oct
Brest
1 : 2
Nice
17 Oct
Lille
1 : 1
Brest
10 Oct
Brest
5 : 1
Angers
03 Oct
Brest
2 : 2
Monza
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSG 9 6 2 1 21:10 20
2 Lille 9 5 3 1 12:6 18
3 Lyon 9 5 2 2 15:7 17
4 Paris FC 9 5 2 2 16:10 17
5 Rennes 9 5 1 3 20:19 16
6 Marseille 9 5 0 4 20:13 15
7 Monaco 9 4 3 2 12:10 15
8 Nice 9 4 2 3 13:12 14
9 Lens 9 4 1 4 16:13 13
10 Brest 9 3 3 3 16:12 12
11 Lorient 9 3 3 3 7:8 12
12 Toulouse 9 2 4 3 12:13 10
13 Strasbourg 9 3 1 5 17:19 10
14 Auxerre 9 3 1 5 13:23 10
15 Angers 9 2 2 5 9:17 8
16 Troyes 9 2 2 5 7:16 8
17 Le Mans 9 1 4 4 11:18 7
18 Le Havre 9 0 2 7 9:20 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)