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Lorient vs Rennes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 1 Stade du Moustoir, Lorient
Sun, Nov 22, 2026
VS
04:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lorient host Rennes in the Ligue 1. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Lorient at 1.38 goals for, 1.21 against; Rennes at 1.87 for, 1.71 against. Past meetings favor Lorient slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 24, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.10 - 1.18) back Lorient to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Lorient
30%
Draws
29%
Rennes
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lorient

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rennes lately — more wins on the board than Lorient.
  • Lorient are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Lorient here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Lorient Clean Sheet 20%
Rennes Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lorient Rennes
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 11 14
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Ligue 1
Rennes vs Lorient
0:2
Aug 24, 2025 Ligue 1
Lorient vs Rennes
4:0
Mar 3, 2024 Ligue 1
Rennes vs Lorient
1:2
Oct 22, 2023 Ligue 1
Lorient vs Rennes
2:1
Jan 27, 2023 Ligue 1
Lorient vs Rennes
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lorient 42 / 100
Rennes 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lorient Rennes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lorient found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Rennes let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Lorient has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lorient VS Rennes
0.71 Goals Scored 1.5
0.86 Goals Conceded 1.5
43% Over 1.5 63%
29% Over 2.5 63%
14% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lorient

(Home)
02 Nov
Lorient
0 : 2
Brest
25 Oct
Angers
0 : 0
Lorient
18 Oct
Lorient
1 : 0
Monaco
10 Oct
Lorient
1 : 0
Paris FC
19 Sept
Le Mans
2 : 1
Lorient
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Rennes

(Away)
04 Nov
Rennes
0 : 0
Olympiacos Piraeus
30 Oct
Nice
5 : 2
Rennes
25 Oct
Rennes
3 : 0
Strasbourg
22 Oct
Juventus
2 : 2
Rennes
18 Oct
Paris FC
4 : 3
Rennes
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSG 9 6 2 1 21:10 20
2 Lille 9 5 3 1 12:6 18
3 Lyon 9 5 2 2 15:7 17
4 Paris FC 9 5 2 2 16:10 17
5 Rennes 9 5 1 3 20:19 16
6 Marseille 9 5 0 4 20:13 15
7 Monaco 9 4 3 2 12:10 15
8 Nice 9 4 2 3 13:12 14
9 Lens 9 4 1 4 16:13 13
10 Toulouse 10 3 4 3 15:14 13
11 Brest 9 3 3 3 16:12 12
12 Lorient 9 3 3 3 7:8 12
13 Strasbourg 10 3 1 6 18:22 10
14 Auxerre 9 3 1 5 13:23 10
15 Angers 9 2 2 5 9:17 8
16 Troyes 9 2 2 5 7:16 8
17 Le Mans 9 1 4 4 11:18 7
18 Le Havre 9 0 2 7 9:20 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)