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Lornano Badesse vs Flaminia

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Gasperini G. M.
33' Event
Lucatti G.
(Penalty)
42' Event
Sciamanna J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group E 2021/2022 game between Lornano Badesse and Flaminia finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lornano Badesse.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Lornano Badesse
40%
Draws
29%
Flaminia
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lornano Badesse come out ahead of Flaminia on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie D - Group E 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Lornano Badesse Clean Sheet 18%
Flaminia Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lornano Badesse Flaminia
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 14 12
Draws 7 11
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 0 1.63
Goals Conceded 0 0.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2022 Serie D - Group E
Lornano Badesse vs Flaminia
2:1
Oct 31, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Flaminia vs Lornano Badesse
4:1
May 16, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Flaminia vs Lornano Badesse
2:1
Jan 17, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Lornano Badesse vs Flaminia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lornano Badesse Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucatti G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Flaminia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lornano Badesse 32 / 100
Flaminia 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lornano Badesse Flaminia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lornano Badesse scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Flaminia conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Lornano Badesse has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Flaminia
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Donato Tavarnelle34263586:3081
2Poggibonsi34235661:2874
3Arezzo341810665:4564
4Follonica Gavorrano34189763:3063
5Pianese341681058:4256
6Lornano Badesse341591047:4354
7Sporting Trestina3413101148:4349
8Flaminia341371449:5046
9Tiferno Lerchi3410121236:4842
10Montespaccato341191443:4442
11Mobilieri Ponsacco341191439:4042
12Sangiovannese349141137:3941
13Scandicci3410111336:4441
14FC Rieti34981739:5835
15Foligno34981746:6535
16Unipomezia34871938:6431
17Cannara34592027:5224
18Pro Livorno34562331:8421