Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lornano Badesse vs Foligno

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Lucatti G.
12' Event
Peluso M.
(Penalty)
31' Event
Cecconi J.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group E 2021/2022 game between Lornano Badesse and Foligno finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lornano Badesse.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Lornano Badesse
15%
Draws
54%
Foligno
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Foligno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Lornano Badesse carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie D - Group E 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Lornano Badesse Clean Sheet 68%
Foligno Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lornano Badesse Foligno
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 14 13
Draws 7 9
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.47 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2022 Serie D - Group E
Foligno vs Lornano Badesse
3:3
Dec 18, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Lornano Badesse vs Foligno
4:2
Mar 21, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Lornano Badesse vs Foligno
1:1
Oct 25, 2020 Serie D - Group E
Foligno vs Lornano Badesse
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lornano Badesse Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucatti G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cecconi J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Foligno Compare

Top Goalscorer Ciganda Formi S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lornano Badesse 41 / 100
Foligno 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lornano Badesse Foligno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lornano Badesse Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Lornano Badesse's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Foligno conceded in 74% of 34 recent games.

Recent resilience: Lornano Badesse stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Foligno
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lornano Badesse

(Home)
15 May
Sangiovannese
2 : 0
Lornano Badesse
08 May
Lornano Badesse
2 : 0
Arezzo
01 May
Foligno
3 : 3
Lornano Badesse
27 Apr
Lornano Badesse
2 : 1
Montespaccato
23 Apr
Follonica Gavorrano
1 : 0
Lornano Badesse
Page 1 of 6

Foligno

(Away)
20 Sept
Foligno
1 : 0
Notaresco Calcio
16 Sept
Recanatese
4 : 1
Foligno
12 Sept
Pietralunga
0 : 1
Foligno
06 Sept
Foligno
2 : 1
Lanciano FC
03 May
Foligno
1 : 0
Cannara
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 26 3 5 86:30 81
2 Poggibonsi 34 23 5 6 61:28 74
3 Arezzo 34 18 10 6 65:45 64
4 Follonica Gavorrano 34 18 9 7 63:30 63
5 Pianese 34 16 8 10 58:42 56
6 Lornano Badesse 34 15 9 10 47:43 54
7 Sporting Trestina 34 13 10 11 48:43 49
8 Flaminia 34 13 7 14 49:50 46
9 Tiferno Lerchi 34 10 12 12 36:48 42
10 Montespaccato 34 11 9 14 43:44 42
11 Mobilieri Ponsacco 34 11 9 14 39:40 42
12 Sangiovannese 34 9 14 11 37:39 41
13 Scandicci 34 10 11 13 36:44 41
14 FC Rieti 34 9 8 17 39:58 35
15 Foligno 34 9 8 17 46:65 35
16 Unipomezia 34 8 7 19 38:64 31
17 Cannara 34 5 9 20 27:52 24
18 Pro Livorno 34 5 6 23 31:84 21
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2021/2022 (Play Out)