Sport Picks
Match Events
41'
41'
Riccobono G.
70'
70'
Mazzolli F.
70'
70'
Mazzolli F.
AI Match Summary
Poggibonsi in this Serie D - Group E 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Poggibonsi.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lornano Badesse
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Lornano Badesse have won more games recently than Poggibonsi.
- Lornano Badesse are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Regular Serie D - Group E 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Lornano Badesse Clean Sheet 68%
Poggibonsi Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lornano Badesse | Poggibonsi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 36 |
| Wins | 14 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 0.92 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 13, 2022 Serie D - Group E
Lornano Badesse vs Poggibonsi
0:2
Oct 3, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Poggibonsi vs Lornano Badesse
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lornano Badesse Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52
Poggibonsi Compare
Top Goalscorer Riccobono G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Regoli V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lornano Badesse 59 / 100
Poggibonsi 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lornano Badesse Poggibonsi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lornano Badesse Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lornano Badesse scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
Defensive concern: Poggibonsi conceded in 75% of 36 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Lornano Badesse went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Poggibonsi
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Lornano Badesse
(Home) 15 May
Sangiovannese
2 : 0 Lornano Badesse
08 May
Lornano Badesse
2 : 0 Arezzo
01 May
Foligno
3 : 3 Lornano Badesse
27 Apr
Lornano Badesse
2 : 1 Montespaccato
23 Apr
Follonica Gavorrano
1 : 0 Lornano Badesse
Page 1 of 6
08 May
Lornano Badesse
2 : 0 Arezzo
27 Apr
Lornano Badesse
2 : 1 Montespaccato
14 Apr
Lornano Badesse
3 : 1 Sporting Trestina
03 Apr
Lornano Badesse
0 : 0 Mobilieri Ponsacco
13 Mar
Lornano Badesse
2 : 1 Flaminia
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Poggibonsi
(Away) 10 May
Orvietana
1 : 0 Poggibonsi
03 May
Poggibonsi
1 : 0 Scandicci
26 Apr
Cannara
3 : 2 Poggibonsi
19 Apr
Poggibonsi
0 : 0 Tau
12 Apr
Camaiore Calcio
1 : 1 Poggibonsi
Page 1 of 8
10 May
Orvietana
1 : 0 Poggibonsi
26 Apr
Cannara
3 : 2 Poggibonsi
12 Apr
Camaiore Calcio
1 : 1 Poggibonsi
28 Mar
Montevarchi
1 : 1 Poggibonsi
15 Mar
Seravezza Pozzi
2 : 2 Poggibonsi
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 34 | 26 | 3 | 5 | 86:30 | 81 |
| 2 | Poggibonsi | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 61:28 | 74 |
| 3 | Arezzo | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 65:45 | 64 |
| 4 | Follonica Gavorrano | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 63:30 | 63 |
| 5 | Pianese | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 58:42 | 56 |
| 6 | Lornano Badesse | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 47:43 | 54 |
| 7 | Sporting Trestina | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 48:43 | 49 |
| 8 | Flaminia | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 49:50 | 46 |
| 9 | Tiferno Lerchi | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 36:48 | 42 |
| 10 | Montespaccato | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 43:44 | 42 |
| 11 | Mobilieri Ponsacco | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39:40 | 42 |
| 12 | Sangiovannese | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 37:39 | 41 |
| 13 | Scandicci | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 36:44 | 41 |
| 14 | FC Rieti | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 39:58 | 35 |
| 15 | Foligno | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 46:65 | 35 |
| 16 | Unipomezia | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 38:64 | 31 |
| 17 | Cannara | 34 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 27:52 | 24 |
| 18 | Pro Livorno | 34 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 31:84 | 21 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2021/2022 (Play Out)
