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Los Almendros vs Alianza Beni - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Nacional B 2023
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AI Match Summary

The Nacional B 2023 game between Los Almendros and Alianza Beni finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alianza Beni.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Los Almendros
20%
Draws
65%
Alianza Beni
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alianza Beni

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alianza Beni come out ahead of Los Almendros on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Los Almendros Clean Sheet 15%
Alianza Beni Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Los Almendros Alianza Beni
Matches Played 12 28
Wins 2 10
Draws 2 8
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.33 1.46
Goals Conceded 2.42 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Alianza Beni vs Los Almendros
0:0
May 27, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Los Almendros vs Alianza Beni
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Los Almendros 31 / 100
Alianza Beni 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Los Almendros Alianza Beni

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alianza Beni Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Los Almendros scored in 67% of their last 12 games.

Alianza Beni has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Los Almendros stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Los Almendros VS Alianza Beni
0.8 Goals Scored 1.5
1.6 Goals Conceded 0.63
80% Over 1.5 38%
60% Over 2.5 13%
20% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Los Almendros

(Home)
16 Jul
Los Almendros
1 : 2
San Lorenzo del Beni
02 Jul
Alianza Beni
0 : 0
Los Almendros
17 Jun
Los Almendros
2 : 2
Universitario Beni
03 Jun
San Lorenzo del Beni
2 : 1
Los Almendros
27 May
Los Almendros
0 : 2
Alianza Beni
Page 1 of 3

Alianza Beni

(Away)
24 Nov
Alianza Beni
3 : 1
Academia del Balompie
15 Nov
Academia del Balompie
8 : 0
Alianza Beni
10 Nov
Alianza Beni
5 : 0
Oruro Royal
07 Nov
Oruro Royal
3 : 1
Alianza Beni
03 Nov
Alianza Beni
3 : 0
Real Potosi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Universitario Beni 6 4 2 0 11:3 14
2 San Lorenzo del Beni 6 2 3 1 6:8 9
3 Alianza Beni 6 1 3 2 4:4 6
4 Los Almendros 6 0 2 4 5:11 2
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fancesa 8 5 3 0 19:4 18
2 Nacional Sucre 8 3 4 1 12:9 13
3 Deportivo Aleman 8 4 1 3 12:11 13
4 Atletico Sucre 8 3 2 3 17:15 11
5 Independiente Recreo 8 0 0 8 6:27 0
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 8 5 2 1 17:5 17
2 Pasion Celeste 8 3 4 1 12:7 13
3 Real Mizque 8 3 4 1 8:7 13
4 Enrique Happ 8 2 4 2 12:7 10
5 Israel University 8 0 0 8 4:27 0
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fatic 8 5 3 0 24:7 18
2 Academia del Balompie 8 3 3 2 24:9 12
3 Hiska Nacional 8 3 3 2 12:10 12
4 Chaco Petrolero 8 3 3 2 15:14 12
5 Huayna Potosi Palcoco 8 0 0 8 7:42 -2
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GV San Jose 8 6 2 0 23:7 20
2 Sur-Car 8 4 1 3 17:15 13
3 Real Oruro 8 3 3 2 20:9 12
4 Em Huanuni 8 2 2 4 15:12 8
5 CM Poopo 8 1 0 7 4:36 3
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Universitario de Pando 2 2 0 0 7:2 6
2 Real Mapajo 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Potosi 6 5 0 1 12:2 15
2 Stormers SL 6 3 2 1 10:2 11
3 Rosario Central 6 2 1 3 7:6 7
4 Huracan Tupiza 6 0 1 5 0:19 1
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 8 6 1 1 25:8 19
2 Torre Fuerte 8 5 0 3 15:7 15
3 24 de Septiembre 8 3 3 2 14:12 12
4 River 66 8 1 2 5 9:22 5
5 Universidad Crucena 8 1 2 5 6:20 5
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Municipal de Tarija 8 5 1 2 16:8 16
2 Municipalidad de Yacuiba 8 4 2 2 14:14 14
3 Atletico Bermejo 8 4 1 3 12:7 13
4 Ciclon 8 1 4 3 4:8 7
5 Garcia Agreda 8 0 4 4 5:14 4
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams