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Los Angeles FC vs Queretaro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

Leagues Cup BMO Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Thu, Aug 13, 2026
2 - 1
02:30 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Avila A.
46'
Sub
Terry J. In: Tillman T.
Out: Terry J.
46'
Sub
Shaffelburg J. In: Martinez D.
Out: Shaffelburg J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Los Angeles FC
30%
Draws
47%
Queretaro
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Queretaro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Los Angeles FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Queretaro taking it.
  • Los Angeles FC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Los Angeles FC, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Los Angeles FC Clean Sheet 20%
Queretaro Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Los Angeles FC Queretaro
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 8 10
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.43 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2026 Leagues Cup
Los Angeles FC vs Queretaro
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Los Angeles FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Bouanga D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Queretaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Avila A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Los Angeles FC 28 / 100
Queretaro 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Los Angeles FC Queretaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Queretaro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Los Angeles FC's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Queretaro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Los Angeles FC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Los Angeles FC VS Queretaro
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Los Angeles FC

(Home)
27 Sept
FC Dallas
1 : 0
Los Angeles FC
19 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes
2 : 2
Los Angeles FC
13 Sept
Sporting Kansas City
3 : 1
Los Angeles FC
10 Sept
Los Angeles FC
2 : 0
New York Red Bulls
06 Sept
Real Salt Lake
2 : 2
Los Angeles FC
Page 1 of 6

Queretaro

(Away)
26 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas
0 : 2
Queretaro
21 Sept
Queretaro
1 : 1
Club Leon
12 Sept
Club Tijuana
0 : 1
Queretaro
29 Aug
Atlas
1 : 3
Queretaro
22 Aug
Queretaro
1 : 2
Toluca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Leon 3 3 0 0 6:3 9
2 Club America 3 2 0 1 7:3 7
3 Toluca 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
4 Monterrey 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
5 Cruz Azul 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
6 Juarez 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
7 Tigres UANL 3 3 0 0 2:2 6
8 Guadalajara Chivas 3 1 0 2 3:3 4
9 Santos Laguna 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
10 Pachuca 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
11 Atlas 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
12 Necaxa 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
13 Atlante 3 1 0 2 2:7 3
14 Atletico San Luis 3 0 0 3 5:10 1
15 UNAM Pumas 3 0 0 3 1:6 1
16 Queretaro 3 0 0 3 1:6 1
17 Club Tijuana 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
18 Puebla 3 0 0 3 4:11 0
Promotion - Leagues Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chicago Fire 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
2 Austin FC 3 3 0 0 6:1 8
3 Columbus Crew 3 3 0 0 6:3 8
4 Real Salt Lake 3 2 0 1 8:1 7
5 Los Angeles FC 3 3 0 0 3:2 7
6 Charlotte FC 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
7 Portland Timbers 3 2 0 1 9:6 6
8 FC Cincinnati 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
9 FC Dallas 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
10 San Diego FC 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
11 Orlando City 3 2 0 1 5:5 5
12 Minnesota United 3 1 0 2 4:3 4
13 Nashville SC 3 1 0 2 5:4 3
14 Inter Miami 3 1 0 2 7:7 3
15 New York City 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
16 Seattle Sounders 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
17 Philadelphia Union 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
18 Vancouver Whitecaps 3 0 0 3 2:5 1
Promotion - Leagues Cup (Play Offs)